Stock Analysis

Investors Could Be Concerned With Wärtsilä Oyj Abp's (HEL:WRT1V) Returns On Capital

HLSE:WRT1V
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To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. So after glancing at the trends within Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (HEL:WRT1V), we weren't too hopeful.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Wärtsilä Oyj Abp, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = €317m ÷ (€6.6b - €3.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, Wärtsilä Oyj Abp has an ROCE of 11%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 11%.

Check out our latest analysis for Wärtsilä Oyj Abp

roce
HLSE:WRT1V Return on Capital Employed July 3rd 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Wärtsilä Oyj Abp compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Wärtsilä Oyj Abp.

SWOT Analysis for Wärtsilä Oyj Abp

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Machinery market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Finnish market.
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by earnings and cashflows.
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

In terms of Wärtsilä Oyj Abp's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 16% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Wärtsilä Oyj Abp to turn into a multi-bagger.

While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 55%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.

Our Take On Wärtsilä Oyj Abp's ROCE

In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 25% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

If you'd like to know more about Wärtsilä Oyj Abp, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wärtsilä Oyj Abp might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.