Valmet (HLSE:VALMT): Is There Still Value After Recent Gains?

Valmet Oyj (HLSE:VALMT) shares have been on investor watchlists after delivering steady year-to-date gains around 15%, despite a more muted performance over the past quarter. The company’s longer-term track record may be catching some renewed attention.

See our latest analysis for Valmet Oyj.

Valmet’s share price may have dipped roughly 13% over the last three months, but its year-to-date climb of nearly 15% and strong one-year total shareholder return of 18.7% suggest the long-term momentum is holding steady even as recent sentiment cools slightly.

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With long-term returns and solid fundamentals, the question for investors now becomes clear: is Valmet trading at an attractive discount, or are its growth prospects already reflected in the current share price?

Most Popular Narrative: 3.6% Undervalued

Valmet’s most popular narrative signals a fair value just above the last close of €27.42, hinting at modest undervaluation despite recent volatility in the share price. Key levers in the story could be more important than meets the eye.

The implementation of Valmet's new operating model, which simplifies structure and fosters faster decision-making and local accountability, is expected to drive recurring annual cost savings of around €80 million by early 2026. This structural catalyst should directly lower SG&A and COGS, supporting margin expansion and improved earnings over time.

Read the complete narrative.

Ever wonder what’s powering this valuation edge? The narrative is powered by bold expectations for future margins and a profit leap that rivals some of the industry’s best stories. Get the real numbers fueling this surprising fair value call.

Result: Fair Value of €28.46 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, continued weakness in core segments or unexpected delays in margin improvements could put pressure on earnings and challenge the current upbeat narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Valmet Oyj narrative.

Build Your Own Valmet Oyj Narrative

If you think there’s more to the numbers or want your own perspective, it’s quick and easy to shape your own view in under three minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Valmet Oyj research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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