Ponsse Oyj Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of PON1V when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

PON1V (€21.1) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€32.81)

Is PON1V undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PON1V when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PON1V (€21.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€32.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PON1V is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PON1V?

Key metric: As PON1V is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PON1V. This is calculated by dividing PON1V's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PON1V's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	74.4x
Earnings	€7.93m
Market Cap	€590.48m

PON1V key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.7x
PEG Ratio	1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PON1V's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PON1V vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13x
KALMAR Kalmar Oyj	13.8x	11.0%	€2.0b
RELAIS Relais Group Oyj	13.4x	10.9%	€242.9m
CGCBV Cargotec	10.3x	-5.5%	€3.4b
VALMT Valmet Oyj	14.4x	15.6%	€4.1b
PON1V Ponsse Oyj	74.4x	55.0%	€590.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PON1V is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.4x) compared to the peer average (13x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PON1V's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PON1V is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PON1V's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PON1V PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	74.4x
Fair PE Ratio	42.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PON1V is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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