Stock Analysis

Strong week for Pallas Air Oyj (HEL:PALLAS) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of one-year loss

HLSE:PALLAS
Source: Shutterstock

Pallas Air Oyj (HEL:PALLAS) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last week. But that is meagre solace when you consider how the price has plummeted over the last year. To wit, the stock has dropped 93% over the last year. So it's not that amazing to see a bit of a bounce. The bigger issue is whether the company can sustain the momentum in the long term. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

While the stock has risen 11% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

See our latest analysis for Pallas Air Oyj

Given that Pallas Air Oyj didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Pallas Air Oyj's revenue didn't grow at all in the last year. In fact, it fell 5.1%. That looks pretty grim, at a glance. The market obviously agrees, since the share price tanked 93%. Holders should not lose the lesson: loss making companies should grow revenue. But markets do over-react, so there opportunity for investors who are willing to take the time to dig deeper and understand the business.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
HLSE:PALLAS Earnings and Revenue Growth August 20th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Pallas Air Oyj stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Pallas Air Oyj's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Pallas Air Oyj hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -75% exceeds its share price return of -93%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.

A Different Perspective

While Pallas Air Oyj shareholders are down 75% for the year, the market itself is up 7.6%. While the aim is to do better than that, it's worth recalling that even great long-term investments sometimes underperform for a year or more. With the stock down 4.5% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 6 warning signs for Pallas Air Oyj you should be aware of, and 4 of them make us uncomfortable.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Finnish exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.