Stock Analysis

Is Glaston Oyj Abp (HEL:GLA1V) A Risky Investment?

HLSE:GLA1V
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Glaston Oyj Abp (HEL:GLA1V) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Glaston Oyj Abp

What Is Glaston Oyj Abp's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Glaston Oyj Abp had debt of €24.0m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from €28.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €20.2m, its net debt is less, at about €3.82m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:GLA1V Debt to Equity History April 7th 2024

How Healthy Is Glaston Oyj Abp's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Glaston Oyj Abp had liabilities of €92.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €35.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €20.2m as well as receivables valued at €30.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €76.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €79.3m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Glaston Oyj Abp's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.33 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.3 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Also positive, Glaston Oyj Abp grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Glaston Oyj Abp's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Glaston Oyj Abp actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

The good news is that Glaston Oyj Abp's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its level of total liabilities has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Glaston Oyj Abp can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Glaston Oyj Abp is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.