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Mediaset España Comunicación Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of TL5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

TL5 (€2.89) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€6.57)

Is TL5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TL5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TL5 (€2.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TL5 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TL5?

Key metric: As TL5 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TL5. This is calculated by dividing TL5's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TL5's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	5.1x
Earnings	€178.26m
Market Cap	€905.05m

TL5 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	2.1x
PEG Ratio	-1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TL5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TL5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	18.4x
A3M Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación	5.7x	-10.5%	€1.0b
SEC Secuoya Grupo de Comunicación	41.4x	n/a	€130.4m
LLYC Llorente & Cuenca	11.4x	17.0%	€83.1m
300770 Guangdong South New MediaLtd	15.1x	6.1%	CN¥9.6b
TL5 Mediaset España Comunicación	5.1x	-3.2%	€905.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TL5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TL5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TL5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the European Media industry average (16.2x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TL5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TL5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	5.1x
Fair PE Ratio	10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TL5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TL5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Nov ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Oct ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Sep ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Aug ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Jul ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Jun ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
May ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Apr ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Mar ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Feb ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Jan ’25	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Dec ’24	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Nov ’24	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Oct ’24	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Sep ’24	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Aug ’24	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Jul ’24	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
Jun ’24	n/a	€4.08 0%	23.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	5
May ’24	€3.02	€3.78 +25.1%	22.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	8
Apr ’24	€3.01	€3.78 +25.4%	22.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	8
Mar ’24	€3.29	€3.78 +14.7%	22.9%	€5.90	€3.27	n/a	8
Feb ’24	€3.27	€3.80 +16.3%	24.8%	€5.70	€2.85	n/a	8
Jan ’24	€3.31	€5.15 +55.4%	21.1%	€6.70	€2.85	n/a	10
Dec ’23	€3.21	€5.15 +60.5%	21.1%	€6.70	€2.85	n/a	10
Nov ’23	€3.17	€5.29 +67.2%	21.6%	€6.70	€2.85	n/a	10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.