ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A.

BME:ENC Stock Report

Market Cap: €723.2m

ENCE Energía y Celulosa Valuation

Is ENC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ENC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ENC (€2.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ENC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ENC?

Key metric: As ENC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ENC. This is calculated by dividing ENC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ENC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.3x
Earnings€44.28m
Market Cap€723.17m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ENC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ENC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
MCM Miquel y Costas & Miquel
10.3xn/a€481.1m
IBG Iberpapel Gestión
7.2x-5.5%€200.5m
ECR Ercros
22.9x48.5%€323.2m
CMO Cementos Molins
8.4xn/a€1.5b
ENC ENCE Energía y Celulosa
16.3x20.9%€723.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ENC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ENC 16.3xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ENC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ENC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ENC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.98
€4.16
+39.7%
11.4%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Nov ’25€2.91
€4.14
+42.3%
11.9%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Oct ’25€3.00
€4.28
+42.5%
12.5%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Sep ’25€3.11
€4.32
+38.8%
11.3%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Aug ’25€3.19
€4.32
+35.3%
11.3%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Jul ’25€3.39
€4.21
+24.0%
10.9%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Jun ’25€3.37
€4.06
+20.5%
7.4%€4.60€3.45n/a9
May ’25€3.35
€4.04
+20.7%
6.9%€4.50€3.45n/a9
Apr ’25€3.23
€3.86
+19.5%
14.7%€4.30€2.45n/a9
Mar ’25€2.86
€3.82
+33.5%
14.3%€4.20€2.45n/a9
Feb ’25€2.91
€3.82
+31.1%
14.7%€4.50€2.45n/a9
Jan ’25€2.83
€3.81
+34.5%
14.6%€4.50€2.45n/a9
Dec ’24€2.97
€3.81
+28.3%
13.8%€4.50€2.45n/a10
Nov ’24€2.72
€3.91
+43.7%
15.7%€4.90€2.45€2.9110
Oct ’24€3.17
€4.07
+28.1%
20.7%€5.80€2.45€3.0010
Sep ’24€2.92
€4.02
+37.7%
21.7%€5.80€2.45€3.1110
Aug ’24€2.75
€4.05
+47.1%
21.4%€5.80€2.45€3.1910
Jul ’24€2.89
€4.26
+47.4%
20.1%€5.80€2.45€3.3910
Jun ’24€2.89
€4.41
+52.7%
21.2%€5.80€2.45€3.3710
May ’24€3.55
€4.45
+25.2%
18.9%€5.80€2.45€3.3512
Apr ’24€3.43
€4.39
+27.9%
21.4%€5.80€2.05€3.2312
Mar ’24€3.82
€4.47
+17.0%
21.8%€5.80€2.05€2.8612
Feb ’24€3.10
€3.93
+26.8%
17.7%€4.80€2.05€2.9112
Jan ’24€2.81
€3.96
+41.0%
17.9%€5.00€2.05€2.8312
Dec ’23€3.07
€3.94
+28.3%
18.0%€5.00€2.05€2.9712
Nov ’23€3.42
€3.99
+16.7%
18.0%€5.00€2.05€2.7212

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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