ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A.

BME:ENC Stock Report

Market Cap: €731.4m

ENCE Energía y Celulosa Valuation

Is ENC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ENC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ENC (€3.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ENC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ENC?

Key metric: As ENC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ENC. This is calculated by dividing ENC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ENC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.5x
Earnings€44.28m
Market Cap€731.42m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ENC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ENC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.3x
MCM Miquel y Costas & Miquel
10.2xn/a€477.3m
IBG Iberpapel Gestión
7.3x-7.0%€202.1m
ECR Ercros
23x48.5%€324.6m
CMO Cementos Molins
8.6xn/a€1.6b
ENC ENCE Energía y Celulosa
16.5x18.7%€731.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ENC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ENC 16.5xIndustry Avg. 10.1xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ENC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ENC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ENC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.01
€4.15
+37.8%
10.3%€5.10€3.65n/a8
Dec ’25€2.76
€4.15
+50.3%
10.3%€5.10€3.65n/a8
Nov ’25€2.91
€4.14
+42.3%
11.9%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Oct ’25€3.00
€4.28
+42.5%
12.5%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Sep ’25€3.11
€4.32
+38.8%
11.3%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Aug ’25€3.19
€4.32
+35.3%
11.3%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Jul ’25€3.39
€4.21
+24.0%
10.9%€5.10€3.45n/a9
Jun ’25€3.37
€4.06
+20.5%
7.4%€4.60€3.45n/a9
May ’25€3.35
€4.04
+20.7%
6.9%€4.50€3.45n/a9
Apr ’25€3.23
€3.86
+19.5%
14.7%€4.30€2.45n/a9
Mar ’25€2.86
€3.82
+33.5%
14.3%€4.20€2.45n/a9
Feb ’25€2.91
€3.82
+31.1%
14.7%€4.50€2.45n/a9
Jan ’25€2.83
€3.81
+34.5%
14.6%€4.50€2.45n/a9
Dec ’24€2.97
€3.81
+28.3%
13.8%€4.50€2.45€2.7610
Nov ’24€2.72
€3.91
+43.7%
15.7%€4.90€2.45€2.9110
Oct ’24€3.17
€4.07
+28.1%
20.7%€5.80€2.45€3.0010
Sep ’24€2.92
€4.02
+37.7%
21.7%€5.80€2.45€3.1110
Aug ’24€2.75
€4.05
+47.1%
21.4%€5.80€2.45€3.1910
Jul ’24€2.89
€4.26
+47.4%
20.1%€5.80€2.45€3.3910
Jun ’24€2.89
€4.41
+52.7%
21.2%€5.80€2.45€3.3710
May ’24€3.55
€4.45
+25.2%
18.9%€5.80€2.45€3.3512
Apr ’24€3.43
€4.39
+27.9%
21.4%€5.80€2.05€3.2312
Mar ’24€3.82
€4.47
+17.0%
21.8%€5.80€2.05€2.8612
Feb ’24€3.10
€3.93
+26.8%
17.7%€4.80€2.05€2.9112
Jan ’24€2.81
€3.96
+41.0%
17.9%€5.00€2.05€2.8312
Dec ’23€3.07
€3.94
+28.3%
18.0%€5.00€2.05€2.9712

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 22:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A. is covered by 26 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rafael Cavanillas GilAhorro Corporación
Bruno BessaBanco BPI, S.A.
Jaime Ojeda de DiegoBanco de Madrid S.A.U.