ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A.

BME:ENC Stock Report

Market Cap: €819.8m

ENCE Energía y Celulosa Valuation

Is ENC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ENC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ENC (€3.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ENC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ENC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ENC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ENC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ENC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
MCM Miquel y Costas & Miquel
1.4xn/a€433.4m
IBG Iberpapel Gestión
0.8x2.3%€204.1m
CMO Cementos Molins
1.3xn/a€1.3b
ECR Ercros
0.5x6.3%€320.5m
ENC ENCE Energía y Celulosa
1x3.5%€819.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ENC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ENC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ENC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ENC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ENC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.39
€4.04
+19.3%
6.9%€4.50€3.45n/a9
Apr ’25€3.23
€3.86
+19.5%
14.7%€4.30€2.45n/a9
Mar ’25€2.86
€3.82
+33.5%
14.3%€4.20€2.45n/a9
Feb ’25€2.91
€3.82
+31.1%
14.7%€4.50€2.45n/a9
Jan ’25€2.83
€3.81
+34.5%
14.6%€4.50€2.45n/a9
Dec ’24€2.97
€3.81
+28.3%
13.8%€4.50€2.45n/a10
Nov ’24€2.72
€3.91
+43.7%
15.7%€4.90€2.45n/a10
Oct ’24€3.17
€4.07
+28.1%
20.7%€5.80€2.45n/a10
Sep ’24€2.92
€4.02
+37.7%
21.7%€5.80€2.45n/a10
Aug ’24€2.75
€4.05
+47.1%
21.4%€5.80€2.45n/a10
Jul ’24€2.89
€4.26
+47.4%
20.1%€5.80€2.45n/a10
Jun ’24€2.89
€4.41
+52.7%
21.2%€5.80€2.45n/a10
May ’24€3.55
€4.45
+25.2%
18.9%€5.80€2.45€3.3512
Apr ’24€3.43
€4.39
+27.9%
21.4%€5.80€2.05€3.2312
Mar ’24€3.82
€4.47
+17.0%
21.8%€5.80€2.05€2.8612
Feb ’24€3.10
€3.93
+26.8%
17.7%€4.80€2.05€2.9112
Jan ’24€2.81
€3.96
+41.0%
17.9%€5.00€2.05€2.8312
Dec ’23€3.07
€3.94
+28.3%
18.0%€5.00€2.05€2.9712
Nov ’23€3.42
€3.99
+16.7%
18.0%€5.00€2.05€2.7212
Oct ’23€3.07
€4.14
+34.7%
14.4%€5.00€2.55€3.1711
Sep ’23€3.46
€4.14
+19.5%
14.4%€5.00€2.55€2.9211
Aug ’23€3.16
€4.14
+30.7%
14.4%€5.00€2.55€2.7511
Jul ’23€3.17
€4.01
+26.5%
14.5%€5.00€2.55€2.8911
Jun ’23€3.59
€3.81
+6.2%
16.0%€5.00€2.55€2.8911
May ’23€3.59
€3.66
+2.0%
19.7%€5.00€2.40€3.5511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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