Stock Analysis

ENCE Energía y Celulosa (BME:ENC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

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BME:ENC

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A. (BME:ENC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for ENCE Energía y Celulosa

What Is ENCE Energía y Celulosa's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, ENCE Energía y Celulosa had €591.9m of debt, up from €541.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €322.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €269.8m.

BME:ENC Debt to Equity History November 20th 2024

How Strong Is ENCE Energía y Celulosa's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that ENCE Energía y Celulosa had liabilities of €422.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €631.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €322.1m as well as receivables valued at €96.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €635.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €716.9m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on ENCE Energía y Celulosa's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While ENCE Energía y Celulosa has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.6, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.1. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Pleasingly, ENCE Energía y Celulosa is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 254% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ENCE Energía y Celulosa's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, ENCE Energía y Celulosa actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Both ENCE Energía y Celulosa's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that ENCE Energía y Celulosa is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for ENCE Energía y Celulosa (2 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ENCE Energía y Celulosa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.