Ebro Foods Valuation

Is EBRO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EBRO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EBRO (€15.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€26.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EBRO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EBRO?

Key metric: As EBRO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EBRO. This is calculated by dividing EBRO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EBRO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
Earnings€216.05m
Market Cap€2.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EBRO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EBRO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
VIS Viscofan
19.6x9.8%€2.9b
142 First Pacific
5.8x20.9%HK$19.4b
NOMD Nomad Foods
12.8x20.4%US$2.6b
2229 Calbee
19.4x4.1%JP¥381.9b
EBRO Ebro Foods
11.3x-1.2%€2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EBRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EBRO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EBRO 11.3xIndustry Avg. 13.5xNo. of Companies18PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EBRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EBRO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EBRO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EBRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EBRO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.88
€20.91
+31.7%
6.0%€23.20€19.30n/a9
Nov ’25€16.44
€20.91
+27.2%
6.0%€23.20€19.30n/a9
Oct ’25€16.00
€20.42
+27.6%
3.5%€21.30€19.30n/a9
Sep ’25€16.08
€20.42
+27.0%
3.5%€21.30€19.30n/a9
Aug ’25€15.92
€20.49
+28.7%
3.1%€21.30€19.40n/a9
Jul ’25€15.52
€19.99
+28.8%
6.5%€21.30€16.80n/a9
Jun ’25€16.16
€19.81
+22.6%
6.5%€21.30€16.80n/a9
May ’25€16.02
€19.81
+23.7%
6.5%€21.30€16.80n/a9
Apr ’25€15.44
€19.81
+28.3%
6.5%€21.30€16.80n/a9
Mar ’25€15.00
€19.81
+32.1%
6.5%€21.30€16.80n/a9
Feb ’25€15.20
€19.52
+28.4%
6.5%€21.30€16.80n/a9
Jan ’25€15.52
€19.30
+24.4%
6.9%€21.30€16.80n/a9
Dec ’24€15.64
€19.26
+23.1%
7.0%€21.30€16.80n/a9
Nov ’24€16.48
€19.02
+15.4%
6.2%€21.30€16.80€16.4410
Oct ’24€15.90
€18.77
+18.1%
6.6%€21.30€16.80€16.009
Sep ’24€16.56
€18.77
+13.4%
6.6%€21.30€16.80€16.089
Aug ’24€16.78
€18.46
+10.0%
7.6%€21.30€16.50€15.929
Jul ’24€16.16
€18.40
+13.9%
7.9%€21.30€16.50€15.529
Jun ’24€16.44
€18.32
+11.4%
7.9%€21.30€16.50€16.169
May ’24€16.84
€18.30
+8.7%
8.0%€21.30€16.50€16.029
Apr ’24€16.30
€17.71
+8.7%
8.9%€21.30€16.30€15.449
Mar ’24€16.42
€17.59
+7.1%
8.3%€21.30€16.30€15.009
Feb ’24€16.06
€17.42
+8.5%
8.9%€21.30€16.00€15.209
Jan ’24€14.66
€17.28
+17.8%
9.1%€21.30€16.00€15.529
Dec ’23€15.20
€17.28
+13.7%
9.1%€21.30€16.00€15.649
Nov ’23€15.22
€17.80
+16.9%
10.2%€21.30€16.00€16.488

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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