Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying NH Hotel Group, S.A. (BME:NHH)?

BME:NHH
Source: Shutterstock

While NH Hotel Group, S.A. (BME:NHH) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the BME, rising to highs of €3.50 and falling to the lows of €2.86. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether NH Hotel Group's current trading price of €3.13 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at NH Hotel Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for NH Hotel Group

What's the opportunity in NH Hotel Group?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 21%, trading at €3.13 compared to my intrinsic value of €2.59. This means that the opportunity to buy NH Hotel Group at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since NH Hotel Group’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of NH Hotel Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BME:NHH Earnings and Revenue Growth December 23rd 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 92% over the next year, the near-term future seems bright for NH Hotel Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? NHH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe NHH should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on NHH for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for NHH, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for NH Hotel Group you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in NH Hotel Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Minor Hotels Europe & Americas is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.