There's Reason For Concern Over Nueva Expresión Textil, S.A.'s (BME:NXT) Price
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Luxury industry in Spain have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, Nueva Expresión Textil, S.A. (BME:NXT) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Nueva Expresión Textil
How Nueva Expresión Textil Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Nueva Expresión Textil over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Nueva Expresión Textil's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nueva Expresión Textil?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Nueva Expresión Textil's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 41% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.8% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Nueva Expresión Textil is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Nueva Expresión Textil's P/S?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Nueva Expresión Textil currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Nueva Expresión Textil you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Nueva Expresión Textil, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nueva Expresión Textil might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BME:NXT
Low with weak fundamentals.