Gestamp Automoción, S.A.

BME:GEST Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.6b

Gestamp Automoción Valuation

Is GEST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GEST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GEST (€2.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GEST is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEST?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GEST key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.8x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GEST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GEST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.1x
CIE CIE Automotive
10.1x9.1%€3.1b
LGT Lingotes Especiales
20.8x28.6%€67.2m
FOXF Fox Factory Holding
14.1x7.9%US$1.7b
515030 Asahi India Glass
43.3x27.9%₹139.8b
GEST Gestamp Automoción
5.7x16.4%€1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GEST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GEST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GEST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GEST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GEST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.7x
Fair PE Ratio11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GEST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GEST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.82
€4.37
+55.1%
19.2%€6.00€3.20n/a12
Apr ’25€2.98
€4.49
+50.6%
18.4%€6.00€3.20n/a12
Mar ’25€2.96
€4.50
+52.1%
18.6%€6.00€3.20n/a12
Feb ’25€3.10
€4.63
+49.3%
16.7%€6.00€3.40n/a12
Jan ’25€3.51
€4.89
+39.4%
16.1%€6.00€3.50n/a12
Dec ’24€3.54
€4.97
+40.2%
13.1%€6.00€4.00n/a13
Nov ’24€3.50
€5.04
+44.0%
12.4%€6.00€4.00n/a13
Oct ’24€3.95
€5.25
+32.9%
14.1%€6.60€4.00n/a13
Sep ’24€4.17
€5.25
+25.9%
14.1%€6.60€4.00n/a13
Aug ’24€4.39
€5.25
+19.7%
14.1%€6.60€4.00n/a13
Jul ’24€4.31
€5.16
+19.8%
14.1%€6.60€4.00n/a13
Jun ’24€4.07
€5.03
+23.6%
12.4%€6.00€4.00n/a13
May ’24€3.92
€4.93
+25.6%
10.5%€5.95€4.00n/a13
Apr ’24€4.17
€4.89
+17.2%
10.3%€5.85€4.00€2.9813
Mar ’24€4.40
€4.84
+9.9%
11.9%€5.85€3.70€2.9613
Feb ’24€4.13
€4.61
+11.7%
13.3%€5.55€3.20€3.1013
Jan ’24€3.61
€4.65
+28.7%
14.5%€5.55€3.20€3.5113
Dec ’23€3.57
€4.72
+32.2%
12.8%€5.55€3.50€3.5413
Nov ’23€3.58
€4.67
+30.6%
13.3%€5.55€3.50€3.5013
Oct ’23€3.06
€4.80
+57.0%
11.6%€5.50€3.50€3.9513
Sep ’23€3.59
€4.80
+33.6%
11.6%€5.50€3.50€4.1713
Aug ’23€3.74
€4.80
+28.5%
11.6%€5.50€3.50€4.3913
Jul ’23€3.27
€4.81
+47.1%
11.8%€5.50€3.50€4.3113
Jun ’23€3.77
€4.78
+26.8%
11.4%€5.50€3.50€4.0713
May ’23€3.12
€4.89
+56.9%
14.2%€6.60€4.00€3.9214
Apr ’23€3.22
€5.05
+56.8%
12.6%€6.60€4.10€4.1714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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