When close to half the companies in Spain have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Gestamp Automoción, S.A. (BME:GEST) as an attractive investment with its 12.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Gestamp Automoción's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Gestamp Automoción
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Gestamp Automoción's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.2% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Gestamp Automoción's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Gestamp Automoción's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Gestamp Automoción (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Gestamp Automoción. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BME:GEST
Gestamp Automoción
Designs, develops, and manufactures metal components for the automotive industry in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Mercosur, North America, and Asia.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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