David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies AS Pro Kapital Grupp (TAL:PKG1T) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for AS Pro Kapital Grupp
What Is AS Pro Kapital Grupp's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that AS Pro Kapital Grupp had €38.3m of debt in September 2022, down from €65.0m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €11.1m, its net debt is less, at about €27.2m.
How Strong Is AS Pro Kapital Grupp's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, AS Pro Kapital Grupp had liabilities of €8.91m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €39.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €11.1m in cash and €1.65m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €35.5m.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €41.9m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
AS Pro Kapital Grupp has net debt worth 1.9 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 2.8 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Pleasingly, AS Pro Kapital Grupp is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 481% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since AS Pro Kapital Grupp will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, AS Pro Kapital Grupp actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
AS Pro Kapital Grupp's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its interest cover somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that AS Pro Kapital Grupp is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for AS Pro Kapital Grupp (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TLSE:PKG1T
AS Pro Kapital Grupp
A real estate development company, purchases, develops, operates, manages, rents, and sells commercial and residential real estate properties in Estonia, Latvia, Germany, and Lithuania.
Mediocre balance sheet low.