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Københavns Lufthavne (CPH:KBHL) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns
Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. On that note, looking into Københavns Lufthavne (CPH:KBHL), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Københavns Lufthavne, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.065 = kr.542m ÷ (kr.15b - kr.7.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Københavns Lufthavne has an ROCE of 6.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 8.5%.
See our latest analysis for Københavns Lufthavne
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Københavns Lufthavne has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Københavns Lufthavne's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Københavns Lufthavne's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 20% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Københavns Lufthavne becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a side note, Københavns Lufthavne's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 45% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
The Bottom Line On Københavns Lufthavne's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. In spite of that, the stock has delivered a 0.5% return to shareholders who held over the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
Like most companies, Københavns Lufthavne does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While Københavns Lufthavne isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Københavns Lufthavne might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CPSE:KBHL
Københavns Lufthavne
Owns, develops, and operates Copenhagen Airport and Roskilde Airport in Denmark.
Solid track record with imperfect balance sheet.