Stock Analysis

Will Wegovy's New Trial Results and Regulatory Progress Change Novo Nordisk's (CPSE:NOVO B) Story?

  • In recent days, Novo Nordisk presented new STEP UP phase 3b trial results for Wegovy, highlighting substantial improvements in both weight loss and obesity-related complication risks, and confirmed that the investigational higher dose is under regulatory review in multiple regions.
  • This comes as the company revises its 2025 growth outlook amid intensifying sector competition, legal disputes over a $10 billion bid for Metsera, and ongoing business transformation efforts.
  • We'll examine how Wegovy's advanced clinical results and regulatory progress may influence Novo Nordisk's future market position and growth story.

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Novo Nordisk Investment Narrative Recap

Novo Nordisk’s investment thesis rests on sustained, long-term demand for GLP-1 therapies in obesity and diabetes as global access, new indications, and product launches accelerate adoption. Recent lawsuits from Pfizer contesting Novo Nordisk’s $10 billion Metsera bid, while headline-grabbing, do not currently pose a material risk to its most important short-term catalyst: further label and dose expansion for Wegovy, which remains anchored in regulatory and clinical progress rather than M&A turbulence.

The most relevant announcement is the STEP UP phase 3b trial results for Wegovy, confirming significant weight loss and cardiovascular risk reduction, with a new higher dose under regulatory review. This directly strengthens Novo Nordisk’s product-led growth catalysts in obesity, regardless of external legal or deal-related headlines, and supports the core belief in medical innovation fueling future revenue streams.

In contrast, it is important for investors to be aware that upcoming patent expiries and pending generics in key markets may present...

Read the full narrative on Novo Nordisk (it's free!)

Novo Nordisk's outlook anticipates DKK396.7 billion in revenue and DKK142.5 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario calls for annual revenue growth of 8.3% and an earnings increase of DKK31.4 billion from the current earnings of DKK111.1 billion.

Uncover how Novo Nordisk's forecasts yield a DKK438.59 fair value, a 43% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

CPSE:NOVO B Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
CPSE:NOVO B Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Across 126 community perspectives, Simply Wall St users estimate fair value for Novo Nordisk from DKK340 to DKK1,120.60 per share. Many believe new obesity indications and regulatory gains could drive returns, but slowing GLP-1 growth highlights why comparing diverse opinions matters.

Explore 126 other fair value estimates on Novo Nordisk - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About CPSE:NOVO B

Novo Nordisk

Engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, North America, and internationally.

Undervalued with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.

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