Gabriel Holding (CPH:GABR) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after we looked into Gabriel Holding (CPH:GABR), the trends above didn't look too great.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Gabriel Holding, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.099 = kr.35m ÷ (kr.809m - kr.452m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
So, Gabriel Holding has an ROCE of 9.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Luxury industry average of 12%.
View our latest analysis for Gabriel Holding
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Gabriel Holding compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Gabriel Holding for free.
So How Is Gabriel Holding's ROCE Trending?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Gabriel Holding. About five years ago, returns on capital were 18%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Gabriel Holding to turn into a multi-bagger.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 56%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 9.9%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's unfortunate that Gabriel Holding is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. We expect this has contributed to the stock plummeting 72% during the last five years. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Gabriel Holding that you might find interesting.
While Gabriel Holding may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CPSE:GABR
Gabriel Holding
Develops, manufactures, and sells upholstery fabrics, components, upholstered surfaces, and related products and services in Denmark, other European Countries, the United States, Mexico, Asia, and internationally.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.
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