Veolia Environnement Valuation

Is VVD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VVD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VVD (€28.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€60.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VVD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VVD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VVD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.7x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VVD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VVD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
EOAN E.ON
71.3x18.3%€32.5b
MVV1 MVV Energie
6xn/a€2.0b
WWG Gelsenwasser
17.3xn/a€2.3b
UN0 Uniper
3.3x-71.5%€21.1b
VVD Veolia Environnement
21.5x13.7%€20.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VVD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VVD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VVD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VVD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.5x
Fair PE Ratio35.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VVD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VVD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.80
€34.31
+19.1%
12.4%€43.40€25.00n/a15
Apr ’25€30.10
€33.89
+12.6%
13.1%€43.40€25.00n/a15
Mar ’25€28.99
€33.97
+17.2%
13.4%€43.40€25.00n/a15
Feb ’25€30.08
€33.61
+11.7%
13.7%€43.40€25.00n/a14
Jan ’25€28.67
€32.70
+14.1%
14.7%€43.40€25.00n/a14
Dec ’24€28.90
€32.55
+12.6%
15.2%€43.40€25.00n/a13
Nov ’24€25.96
€32.42
+24.9%
14.8%€43.40€25.00n/a13
Oct ’24€27.85
€32.90
+18.1%
14.1%€43.40€25.00n/a13
Sep ’24€28.72
€33.55
+16.8%
14.3%€43.40€25.00n/a13
Aug ’24€29.26
€33.58
+14.8%
14.1%€43.40€25.00n/a13
Jul ’24€28.66
€33.58
+17.2%
14.1%€43.40€25.00n/a13
Jun ’24€27.87
€33.23
+19.2%
14.3%€43.40€25.00n/a14
May ’24€28.74
€32.88
+14.4%
14.6%€43.40€25.00n/a14
Apr ’24€28.50
€31.77
+11.5%
18.4%€43.40€22.50€30.1014
Mar ’24€27.96
€31.47
+12.5%
18.6%€43.40€22.50€28.9914
Feb ’24€27.15
€31.18
+14.8%
18.9%€43.40€22.50€30.0814
Jan ’24€24.08
€30.58
+27.0%
22.1%€43.40€21.00€28.6713
Dec ’23€24.72
€31.24
+26.4%
21.8%€43.40€21.00€28.9015
Nov ’23€23.05
€30.03
+30.3%
25.7%€43.40€16.70€25.9615
Oct ’23€19.75
€31.14
+57.7%
23.9%€43.40€16.70€27.8515
Sep ’23€21.87
€33.15
+51.6%
17.6%€43.40€22.50€28.7214
Aug ’23€24.36
€33.84
+38.9%
16.9%€43.40€22.50€29.2614
Jul ’23€23.68
€35.16
+48.5%
12.2%€43.40€27.00€28.6613
Jun ’23€26.00
€35.16
+35.2%
12.2%€43.40€27.00€27.8713
May ’23€27.85
€35.89
+28.9%
13.0%€43.40€27.00€28.7413
Apr ’23€29.36
€36.14
+23.1%
12.8%€43.40€27.00€28.5011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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