Southern Valuation

Is SOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SOT (€81.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€20.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SOT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SOT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SOT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.6x
PEG Ratio3.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SOT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.1x
EBK EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg
51.2xn/a€18.3b
LEC Lechwerke
25.9xn/a€2.5b
EOAN E.ON
18.1x8.6%€32.4b
IBE Iberdrola
13.1x-2.5%€84.8b
SOT Southern
20.4x5.4%€97.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SOT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (27.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SOT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SOT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SOT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€81.40
€84.73
+4.1%
8.0%€95.97€64.60n/a19
Oct ’25€82.00
€78.63
-4.1%
9.4%€87.63€63.24n/a18
Sep ’25€77.56
€77.18
-0.5%
9.2%€86.68€63.20n/a18
Aug ’25€76.43
€73.73
-3.5%
7.1%€80.62€64.87n/a19
Jul ’25€72.50
€72.34
-0.2%
7.0%€79.96€61.72n/a19
Jun ’25€73.16
€70.84
-3.2%
6.5%€78.35€60.84n/a19
May ’25€69.41
€69.83
+0.6%
6.0%€76.62€61.67n/a19
Apr ’25€65.56
€68.92
+5.1%
6.6%€75.99€60.24n/a19
Mar ’25€62.18
€68.53
+10.2%
6.6%€75.78€60.07n/a19
Feb ’25€64.04
€68.82
+7.5%
5.9%€75.35€61.57n/a19
Jan ’25€63.32
€66.93
+5.7%
6.9%€74.53€58.17n/a19
Dec ’24€64.98
€66.86
+2.9%
7.0%€75.34€58.80n/a17
Nov ’24€64.12
€68.18
+6.3%
7.6%€76.64€60.56€83.5917
Oct ’24€61.42
€68.40
+11.4%
6.6%€75.96€60.96€82.0017
Sep ’24€62.40
€66.74
+7.0%
6.6%€74.17€59.52€77.5617
Aug ’24€65.70
€66.11
+0.6%
7.5%€72.32€54.24€76.4315
Jul ’24€63.56
€66.96
+5.3%
7.5%€73.45€55.09€72.5015
Jun ’24€64.20
€67.37
+4.9%
7.9%€75.83€56.41€73.1614
May ’24€66.68
€66.31
-0.6%
7.5%€74.42€57.17€69.4114
Apr ’24€63.29
€65.32
+3.2%
7.9%€73.42€52.98€65.5614
Mar ’24€59.44
€66.47
+11.8%
7.0%€75.97€57.21€62.1815
Feb ’24€62.07
€66.02
+6.4%
6.4%€74.54€58.90€64.0415
Jan ’24€67.64
€66.79
-1.3%
8.7%€79.89€58.27€63.3216
Dec ’23€64.59
€65.20
+0.9%
9.1%€76.85€56.68€64.9816
Nov ’23€65.96
€67.99
+3.1%
9.7%€79.28€55.20€64.1216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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