Sempra

DB:SE4 Stock Report

Market Cap: €55.5b

Sempra Valuation

Is SE4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SE4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SE4 (€87.02) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€78.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SE4 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SE4?

Key metric: As SE4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SE4. This is calculated by dividing SE4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SE4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.4x
EarningsUS$2.89b
Market CapUS$58.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SE4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SE4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.1x
EOAN E.ON
16.8x8.9%€30.2b
MNV6 Mainova
33.1xn/a€1.9b
MVV1 MVV Energie
12.1xn/a€2.0b
WWG Gelsenwasser
14.3xn/a€1.7b
SE4 Sempra
20.4x8.3%€58.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SE4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (19.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SE4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SE4 20.4xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SE4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SE4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SE4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SE4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SE4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€87.02
€87.38
+0.4%
5.3%€95.74€79.49n/a17
Nov ’25€76.32
€83.41
+9.3%
5.5%€90.51€74.81n/a17
Oct ’25€74.68
€79.16
+6.0%
4.3%€85.32€72.75n/a16
Sep ’25€73.30
€77.81
+6.1%
4.3%€84.88€71.48n/a15
Aug ’25€73.56
€77.58
+5.5%
5.1%€87.66€71.05n/a15
Jul ’25€70.28
€78.00
+11.0%
4.1%€83.16€71.01n/a15
Jun ’25€66.66
€77.56
+16.3%
3.6%€82.41€73.15n/a16
May ’25€67.14
€77.65
+15.7%
4.4%€83.55€70.41n/a16
Apr ’25€65.50
€76.72
+17.1%
5.1%€87.11€69.50n/a17
Mar ’25€65.50
€76.00
+16.0%
5.4%€86.74€68.29n/a17
Feb ’25€66.00
€76.03
+15.2%
4.4%€82.11€70.12n/a17
Jan ’25€67.00
€73.89
+10.3%
4.9%€80.60€68.83n/a16
Dec ’24€66.50
€74.20
+11.6%
5.7%€81.84€67.12n/a15
Nov ’24€66.00
€76.99
+16.7%
5.8%€84.21€70.97€76.3215
Oct ’24€64.00
€78.15
+22.1%
5.4%€89.09€72.21€74.6815
Sep ’24€64.50
€77.30
+19.8%
6.2%€88.48€70.05€73.3015
Aug ’24€67.50
€77.07
+14.2%
6.6%€90.14€67.15€73.5614
Jul ’24€66.00
€78.89
+19.5%
6.5%€91.81€68.40€70.2814
Jun ’24€67.00
€79.13
+18.1%
4.7%€84.15€68.89€66.6613
May ’24€70.50
€77.79
+10.3%
4.7%€83.02€67.97€67.1413
Apr ’24€68.29
€78.00
+14.2%
5.7%€84.31€69.02€65.5013
Mar ’24€70.43
€80.12
+13.8%
6.0%€90.51€68.47€65.5014
Feb ’24€73.20
€78.48
+7.2%
6.0%€87.39€66.45€66.0014
Jan ’24€72.59
€78.48
+8.1%
7.3%€92.11€68.61€67.0014
Dec ’23€79.08
€79.29
+0.3%
7.3%€90.75€70.47€66.5015
Nov ’23€75.84
€81.69
+7.7%
6.9%€91.33€72.26€66.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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