ERG Valuation

Is ER9 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ER9 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ER9 (€19.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ER9 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ER9?

Key metric: As ER9 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ER9. This is calculated by dividing ER9's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ER9's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.8x
Earnings€196.25m
Market Cap€2.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ER9's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ER9 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.5x
HRPK 7C Solarparken
62.7x54.5%€156.9m
ABO clearvise
19x-50.1%€128.9m
LEC Lechwerke
25.9xn/a€2.5b
WWG Gelsenwasser
14.2xn/a€1.8b
ER9 ERG
14.8x4.7%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ER9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the peer average (30.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ER9's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ER9 14.8xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ER9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ER9's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ER9 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ER9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ER9 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.39
€27.39
+41.3%
12.1%€33.30€24.00n/a9
Nov ’25€20.40
€28.61
+40.3%
11.1%€33.30€23.50n/a9
Oct ’25€24.20
€28.73
+18.7%
10.5%€33.30€23.50n/a9
Sep ’25€24.08
€28.73
+19.3%
10.5%€33.30€23.50n/a9
Aug ’25€24.00
€28.68
+19.5%
10.9%€33.30€23.00n/a9
Jul ’25€22.98
€28.21
+22.8%
10.5%€33.30€23.00n/a9
Jun ’25€25.22
€29.00
+15.0%
7.8%€33.30€26.20n/a8
May ’25€24.90
€29.21
+17.3%
8.7%€34.50€26.20n/a8
Apr ’25€22.76
€29.21
+28.4%
8.7%€34.50€26.20n/a8
Mar ’25€25.36
€33.63
+32.6%
9.1%€38.00€27.30n/a8
Feb ’25€27.28
€33.63
+23.3%
9.1%€38.00€27.30n/a8
Jan ’25€28.92
€33.45
+15.7%
9.5%€38.00€27.30n/a8
Dec ’24€26.18
€33.51
+28.0%
9.8%€38.00€26.80n/a8
Nov ’24€22.92
€34.16
+49.1%
7.5%€38.00€29.00€20.408
Oct ’24€22.68
€34.16
+50.6%
7.5%€38.00€29.00€24.208
Sep ’24€25.28
€34.16
+35.1%
7.5%€38.00€29.00€24.088
Aug ’24€25.82
€34.34
+33.0%
7.4%€38.00€29.00€24.008
Jul ’24€26.50
€35.13
+32.6%
8.0%€38.00€29.00€22.987
Jun ’24€25.26
€35.13
+39.1%
8.0%€38.00€29.00€25.227
May ’24€26.56
€35.13
+32.3%
8.0%€38.00€29.00€24.907
Apr ’24€26.72
€35.13
+31.5%
8.0%€38.00€29.00€22.767
Mar ’24€26.70
€36.23
+35.7%
8.8%€39.00€29.00€25.367
Feb ’24€27.22
€36.23
+33.1%
8.8%€39.00€29.00€27.287
Jan ’24€28.92
€36.51
+26.3%
7.0%€39.00€31.00€28.927
Dec ’23€29.98
€36.64
+22.2%
7.1%€39.00€31.00€26.187
Nov ’23€31.72
€36.64
+15.5%
7.1%€39.00€31.00€22.927

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies