Electricity Generating Public Company Limited

DB:ECGF Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.7b

Electricity Generating Valuation

Is ECGF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ECGF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ECGF (€2.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ECGF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ECGF?

Key metric: As ECGF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ECGF. This is calculated by dividing ECGF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ECGF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.5x
Sales฿41.40b
Market Cap฿60.81b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ECGF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ECGF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
AB9 ABO Energy GmbH KGaA
1.2x13.9%€336.6m
RWE RWE
1x4.4%€23.4b
UN0 Uniper
0.2x5.6%€17.5b
ECV Encavis
6x8.4%€2.7b
ECGF Electricity Generating
1.5x-6.3%€60.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ECGF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ECGF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ECGF 1.5xIndustry Avg. 2.7xNo. of Companies14PS0246810+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ECGF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (2.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ECGF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ECGF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ECGF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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