China Gas Holdings Valuation

Is EBZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EBZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EBZ (€0.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EBZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EBZ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EBZ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.4x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EBZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EBZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
LEC Lechwerke
20.3xn/a€2.8b
ECV Encavis
51.1x17.3%€2.7b
MVV1 MVV Energie
6xn/a€2.0b
WWG Gelsenwasser
17.3xn/a€2.3b
EBZ China Gas Holdings
14.1x15.1%€40.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EBZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EBZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Gas Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EBZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the Global Gas Utilities industry average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EBZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EBZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio35.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EBZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EBZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.88
€0.98
+11.9%
15.9%€1.49€0.81n/a18
Apr ’25€0.82
€0.98
+18.6%
17.5%€1.50€0.73n/a18
Mar ’25€0.84
€0.98
+16.3%
17.1%€1.50€0.73n/a18
Feb ’25€0.83
€0.98
+17.9%
17.4%€1.49€0.72n/a17
Jan ’25€0.88
€1.03
+17.3%
21.3%€1.50€0.73n/a18
Dec ’24€0.81
€1.08
+32.3%
27.2%€1.87€0.71n/a18
Nov ’24€0.83
€1.27
+52.2%
22.8%€1.93€0.83n/a19
Oct ’24€0.88
€1.31
+48.6%
19.8%€1.90€0.83n/a19
Sep ’24€0.93
€1.27
+36.2%
20.8%€1.82€0.80n/a19
Aug ’24€0.99
€1.27
+27.3%
20.8%€1.82€0.80n/a19
Jul ’24€1.04
€1.32
+26.7%
19.3%€1.88€0.90n/a19
Jun ’24€1.09
€1.44
+31.8%
22.2%€1.93€0.91n/a19
May ’24€1.16
€1.42
+22.5%
22.4%€1.90€0.92€0.8619
Apr ’24€1.28
€1.46
+13.9%
23.1%€1.96€0.95€0.8218
Mar ’24€1.35
€1.46
+8.0%
23.1%€1.96€0.95€0.8418
Feb ’24€1.44
€1.42
-1.4%
22.9%€1.92€0.93€0.8319
Jan ’24€1.35
€1.40
+3.7%
25.1%€1.97€0.91€0.8819
Dec ’23€1.23
€1.45
+17.9%
26.7%€2.02€0.93€0.8118
Nov ’23€0.93
€1.80
+94.2%
24.2%€2.58€1.10€0.8318
Oct ’23€1.22
€1.82
+49.4%
25.0%€2.93€1.12€0.8818
Sep ’23€1.40
€1.82
+30.2%
25.0%€2.93€1.12€0.9318
Aug ’23€1.48
€1.82
+23.1%
25.0%€2.93€1.12€0.9918
Jul ’23€1.46
€1.81
+23.8%
26.9%€2.86€1.09€1.0417
Jun ’23€1.40
€1.98
+41.2%
31.9%€3.01€1.08€1.0916
May ’23€1.17
€2.12
+80.9%
25.4%€2.97€1.22€1.1617

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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