Canadian Utilities Valuation

Is CUD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CUD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CUD (€23.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€225.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CUD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CUD?

Key metric: As CUD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CUD. This is calculated by dividing CUD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CUD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.7x
EarningsCA$424.00m
Market CapCA$9.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CUD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CUD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.8x
MNV6 Mainova
32.6xn/a€1.9b
WWG Gelsenwasser
14.2xn/a€1.7b
MVV1 MVV Energie
11.1xn/a€2.0b
EOAN E.ON
17.2x8.7%€31.0b
CUD Canadian Utilities
22.7xn/a€9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CUD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the peer average (18.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CUD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CUD 22.7xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CUD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CUD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CUD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CUD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CUD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€23.55
€25.44
+8.0%
2.1%€26.28€24.93n/a6
Dec ’25€23.99
€25.44
+6.0%
2.1%€26.28€24.93n/a6
Nov ’25€23.18
€24.86
+7.3%
2.0%€25.40€24.06n/a5
Oct ’25€23.67
€24.13
+1.9%
2.1%€24.66€23.33n/a5
Sep ’25€22.34
€23.75
+6.3%
1.8%€24.48€23.15n/a5
Aug ’25€21.48
€23.38
+8.8%
3.2%€24.39€22.36n/a5
Jul ’25€19.75
€23.38
+18.4%
3.2%€24.39€22.36n/a5
Jun ’25€20.51
€23.48
+14.5%
2.9%€24.44€22.41n/a6
May ’25€21.01
€23.52
+12.0%
3.2%€24.66€22.61n/a6
Apr ’25€20.80
€23.94
+15.1%
2.6%€24.74€22.68n/a6
Mar ’25€20.80
€23.94
+15.1%
2.6%€24.74€22.68n/a6
Feb ’25€21.00
€23.94
+14.0%
2.6%€24.74€22.68n/a6
Jan ’25€21.60
€24.12
+11.7%
4.3%€26.27€22.52n/a7
Dec ’24€20.40
€24.12
+18.3%
4.3%€26.27€22.52€23.997
Nov ’24€19.60
€24.12
+23.1%
4.3%€26.27€22.52€23.187
Oct ’24€20.40
€25.72
+26.1%
2.1%€26.82€25.08€23.677
Sep ’24€21.80
€25.88
+18.7%
3.5%€27.15€24.43€22.348
Aug ’24€22.40
€26.42
+18.0%
3.9%€27.59€24.83€21.488
Jul ’24€23.80
€27.79
+16.8%
4.4%€29.93€25.76€19.757
Jun ’24€25.00
€26.65
+6.6%
4.0%€28.81€24.79€20.519
May ’24€26.00
€26.65
+2.5%
4.0%€28.81€24.79€21.019
Apr ’24€25.40
€26.72
+5.2%
4.6%€29.22€25.14€20.809
Mar ’24€24.60
€26.64
+8.3%
8.9%€29.76€20.76€20.809
Feb ’24€25.20
€26.40
+4.8%
9.2%€29.73€20.74€21.008
Jan ’24€25.60
€27.25
+6.5%
9.8%€31.30€21.84€21.608
Dec ’23€26.00
€27.25
+4.8%
9.8%€31.30€21.84€20.408

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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