Avista Corporation

DB:AV6 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.8b

Avista Valuation

Is AV6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AV6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AV6 (€35.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€59.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AV6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AV6?

Key metric: As AV6 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AV6. This is calculated by dividing AV6's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AV6's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.7x
EarningsUS$196.98m
Market CapUS$2.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AV6's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AV6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.3x
MVV1 MVV Energie
11.1xn/a€2.0b
MNV6 Mainova
32.4xn/a€1.9b
WWG Gelsenwasser
13.4xn/a€1.7b
EOAN E.ON
16.4x8.7%€29.4b
AV6 Avista
14.7x7.1%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AV6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (18.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AV6's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AV6 14.7xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AV6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AV6's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AV6 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.7x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AV6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AV6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€35.20
€37.79
+7.4%
12.9%€47.00€33.57n/a5
Dec ’25€36.40
€38.11
+4.7%
15.3%€46.31€33.08n/a3
Nov ’25€34.20
€37.05
+8.3%
14.5%€46.32€33.35n/a4
Oct ’25€34.60
€39.75
+14.9%
17.2%€47.89€32.53n/a4
Sep ’25€34.40
€42.03
+22.2%
16.0%€48.08€32.66n/a3
Aug ’25€36.00
€36.80
+2.2%
17.8%€46.01€31.28n/a3
Jul ’25€32.00
€36.80
+15.0%
17.8%€46.01€31.28n/a3
Jun ’25€33.40
€36.80
+10.2%
17.8%€46.01€31.28n/a3
May ’25€33.20
€35.52
+7.0%
18.3%€46.44€29.72n/a4
Apr ’25€32.00
€34.13
+6.6%
18.3%€46.12€29.51n/a5
Mar ’25€30.60
€34.13
+11.5%
18.3%€46.12€29.51n/a5
Feb ’25€31.40
€34.13
+8.7%
18.3%€46.12€29.51n/a5
Jan ’25€32.20
€32.25
+0.1%
22.5%€45.29€23.55n/a5
Dec ’24€31.00
€33.39
+7.7%
22.2%€46.63€24.25€36.405
Nov ’24€29.80
€35.01
+17.5%
21.3%€47.31€24.60€34.205
Oct ’24€30.40
€36.32
+19.5%
16.3%€47.30€31.21€34.605
Sep ’24€30.80
€37.01
+20.2%
14.6%€46.27€30.53€34.405
Aug ’24€35.00
€34.76
-0.7%
15.8%€44.95€28.76€36.006
Jul ’24€35.60
€36.21
+1.7%
14.5%€46.04€29.46€32.006
Jun ’24€37.60
€36.21
-3.7%
14.5%€46.04€29.46€33.406
May ’24€39.80
€36.21
-9.0%
14.5%€46.04€29.46€33.206
Apr ’24€38.80
€36.71
-5.4%
15.0%€47.26€30.25€32.006
Mar ’24€37.80
€36.71
-2.9%
15.0%€47.26€30.25€30.606
Feb ’24€36.20
€36.05
-0.4%
15.1%€46.02€29.45€31.406
Jan ’24€41.20
€36.69
-11.0%
16.2%€47.04€30.10€32.206
Dec ’23€39.40
€36.42
-7.6%
15.6%€47.50€30.40€31.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 14:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Avista Corporation is covered by 15 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael WormsBMO Capital Markets U.S. (Historical)
Ross Allen FowlerBofA Global Research
Ross Allen FowlerBofA Global Research