Neoenergia Valuation

Is 2Q40 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2Q40 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2Q40 (€12.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€84.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2Q40 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2Q40?

Key metric: As 2Q40 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2Q40. This is calculated by dividing 2Q40's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2Q40's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
EarningsR$3.76b
Market CapR$24.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2Q40's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2Q40 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.5x
LEC Lechwerke
25.9xn/a€2.5b
EBK EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg
28.3xn/a€17.0b
MNV6 Mainova
33.7xn/a€1.9b
WWG Gelsenwasser
14.2xn/a€1.8b
2Q40 Neoenergia
6.4x2.6%€24.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2Q40 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (25.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2Q40's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2Q40 6.4xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies10PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2Q40 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2Q40's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2Q40 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2Q40 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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