TAURON Polska Energia Valuation

Is 1T5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1T5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1T5 (€0.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1T5 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1T5?

Key metric: As 1T5 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1T5. This is calculated by dividing 1T5's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1T5's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Saleszł41.21b
Market Capzł6.29b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1T5's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1T5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
LEC Lechwerke
2xn/a€2.5b
EBK EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg
0.5xn/a€17.3b
MVV1 MVV Energie
0.3xn/a€2.0b
MNV6 Mainova
0.5xn/a€1.9b
1T5 TAURON Polska Energia
0.2x-7.5%€6.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1T5 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1T5's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1T5 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies16PS00.40.81.21.62+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1T5 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1T5's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1T5 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1T5 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1T5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.79
€1.23
+55.3%
27.9%€1.89€0.72n/a7
Nov ’25€0.83
€1.25
+51.3%
28.0%€1.88€0.72n/a7
Oct ’25€0.77
€1.28
+67.8%
28.0%€1.93€0.74n/a7
Sep ’25€0.80
€1.26
+57.4%
30.2%€1.90€0.73n/a6
Aug ’25€0.86
€1.26
+45.6%
30.2%€1.90€0.73n/a6
Jul ’25€0.87
€1.36
+57.2%
23.9%€1.90€0.99n/a5
Jun ’25€0.93
€1.47
+58.3%
20.6%€1.92€1.17n/a4
May ’25€0.66
€1.11
+69.1%
39.1%€1.92€0.68n/a5
Apr ’25€0.68
€1.20
+76.0%
35.6%€1.90€0.67n/a5
Mar ’25€0.82
€1.17
+42.3%
37.3%€1.89€0.67n/a5
Feb ’25€0.82
€1.20
+45.4%
34.8%€1.89€0.67n/a5
Jan ’25€0.86
€1.20
+38.9%
34.8%€1.89€0.67n/a5
Dec ’24€0.92
€1.20
+29.9%
34.8%€1.89€0.67n/a5
Nov ’24€0.81
€1.20
+48.0%
36.9%€1.80€0.64€0.835
Oct ’24€0.73
€1.31
+79.1%
28.5%€1.76€0.92€0.774
Sep ’24€0.93
€1.38
+48.4%
28.9%€1.83€0.96€0.804
Aug ’24€0.82
€1.11
+34.4%
42.7%€1.73€0.58€0.863
Jul ’24€0.62
€0.77
+24.3%
32.4%€1.13€0.57€0.873
Jun ’24€0.50
€0.77
+54.4%
32.4%€1.13€0.57€0.933
May ’24€0.44
€0.70
+56.8%
22.2%€0.91€0.57€0.663
Apr ’24€0.41
€0.84
+102.6%
36.4%€1.32€0.55€0.684
Mar ’24€0.44
€1.01
+127.2%
30.6%€1.32€0.55€0.824
Feb ’24€0.49
€1.01
+104.6%
30.6%€1.32€0.55€0.824
Jan ’24€0.44
€1.01
+129.3%
30.6%€1.32€0.55€0.864
Dec ’23€0.43
€1.01
+133.6%
30.6%€1.32€0.55€0.924
Nov ’23€0.43
€0.98
+128.9%
30.9%€1.30€0.54€0.814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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