Northland Power Inc.

DB:1NR Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.1b

Northland Power Valuation

Is 1NR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1NR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1NR (€12.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€24.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1NR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1NR?

Key metric: As 1NR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1NR. This is calculated by dividing 1NR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1NR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2x
SalesCA$2.40b
Market CapCA$4.69b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1NR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1NR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
ECV Encavis
6.1x7.4%€2.8b
HRPK 7C Solarparken
2.4x2.2%€152.8m
TION Tion Renewables
4.4xn/a€149.0m
TION Tion Renewables
4.1xn/a€139.5m
1NR Northland Power
2x3.5%€4.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1NR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1NR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1NR 2.0xIndustry Avg. 2.6xNo. of Companies13PS0246810+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1NR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (2.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1NR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1NR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1NR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1NR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.03
€19.42
+61.5%
11.7%€23.32€15.32n/a14
Dec ’25€13.49
€19.79
+46.8%
11.4%€23.60€15.51n/a14
Nov ’25€13.74
€19.95
+45.3%
10.6%€23.46€15.41n/a13
Oct ’25€15.96
€19.56
+22.6%
9.0%€23.44€15.40n/a14
Sep ’25€13.72
€19.88
+45.0%
6.9%€23.43€18.08n/a13
Aug ’25€15.40
€20.24
+31.4%
6.4%€23.73€18.98n/a13
Jul ’25€16.35
€20.07
+22.8%
5.8%€22.92€18.88n/a13
Jun ’25€15.35
€19.88
+29.6%
6.5%€22.94€18.22n/a13
May ’25€14.39
€19.79
+37.5%
6.0%€21.77€18.37n/a13
Apr ’25€14.90
€20.42
+37.0%
6.7%€23.27€18.48n/a12
Mar ’25€16.06
€20.42
+27.1%
6.7%€23.27€18.48n/a12
Feb ’25€16.54
€21.06
+27.3%
8.7%€23.90€18.44n/a12
Jan ’25€16.92
€21.62
+27.8%
12.9%€29.41€18.46n/a13
Dec ’24€15.40
€21.51
+39.7%
12.8%€29.11€18.28€13.4913
Nov ’24€13.40
€22.01
+64.3%
12.3%€29.30€18.40€13.7413
Oct ’24€15.36
€24.14
+57.2%
12.3%€29.95€20.20€15.9615
Sep ’24€17.00
€23.97
+41.0%
12.1%€29.24€20.40€13.7216
Aug ’24€17.50
€26.78
+53.0%
9.0%€31.00€23.77€15.4016
Jul ’24€18.50
€27.63
+49.4%
8.0%€31.26€24.31€16.3516
Jun ’24€20.25
€28.06
+38.5%
8.9%€32.87€23.97€15.3516
May ’24€21.80
€30.20
+38.6%
7.3%€33.84€25.72€14.3916
Apr ’24€22.27
€30.34
+36.2%
7.9%€33.92€25.78€14.9016
Mar ’24€22.00
€31.49
+43.1%
7.7%€35.42€26.39€16.0616
Feb ’24€24.03
€32.84
+36.7%
6.8%€35.95€28.34€16.5416
Jan ’24€26.40
€33.16
+25.6%
7.0%€35.83€28.25€16.9216
Dec ’23€25.78
€33.76
+31.0%
6.7%€36.78€29.00€15.4015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 12:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Northland Power Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Nathan HeywoodATB Capital Markets
Benjamin PhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research