National Grid Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

National Grid is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.5% and 9.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.9% in 3 years.

Key information

15.5%

Earnings growth rate

12.4%

EPS growth rate

Integrated Utilities earnings growth	6.2%
Revenue growth rate	9.1%
Future return on equity	9.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:NNGF - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
3/31/2027	21,854	3,971	-4,737	8,726	10
3/31/2026	19,772	3,483	-4,410	7,741	11
3/31/2025	19,598	3,221	-4,267	5,994	10
9/30/2024	19,322	1,724	-1,512	6,690	N/A
6/30/2024	19,586	1,970	-1,013	6,815	N/A
3/31/2024	19,850	2,216	-514	6,939	N/A
12/31/2023	20,277	2,387	-86	7,085	N/A
9/30/2023	20,704	2,558	342	7,231	N/A
6/30/2023	21,182	2,636	174	7,065	N/A
3/31/2023	21,659	2,714	6	6,898	N/A
12/31/2022	21,306	2,870	-65	6,641	N/A
9/30/2022	20,952	3,026	-137	6,383	N/A
6/30/2022	19,701	2,604	296	6,328	N/A
3/31/2022	18,449	2,182	728	6,272	N/A
12/31/2021	16,496	1,685	475	5,678	N/A
9/30/2021	14,542	1,187	222	5,084	N/A
6/30/2021	14,104	1,245	38	4,773	N/A
3/31/2021	13,665	1,303	-147	4,461	N/A
12/31/2020	12,810	1,096	21	4,462	N/A
9/30/2020	14,315	1,377	-439	4,462	N/A
6/30/2020	14,428	1,325	-360	4,540	N/A
3/31/2020	13,360	1,029	32	4,618	N/A
12/31/2019	14,708	1,366	-94	4,499	N/A
9/30/2019	14,875	1,458	93	4,380	N/A
6/30/2019	14,904	1,479	235	4,349	N/A
3/31/2019	14,933	1,499	377	4,318	N/A
12/31/2018	14,923	2,425	426	4,384	N/A
9/30/2018	14,913	3,350	474	4,449	N/A
6/30/2018	15,082	3,449	N/A	4,476	N/A
3/31/2018	15,250	3,548	N/A	4,503	N/A
12/31/2017	15,345	2,577	N/A	4,793	N/A
9/30/2017	15,439	1,606	N/A	5,083	N/A
6/30/2017	15,237	1,709	N/A	5,156	N/A
3/31/2017	15,035	1,811	N/A	5,229	N/A
9/30/2016	12,638	1,685	N/A	4,933	N/A
6/30/2016	12,925	1,793	N/A	5,151	N/A
3/31/2016	13,212	1,899	N/A	5,368	N/A
12/31/2015	15,403	2,375	N/A	5,236	N/A
9/30/2015	15,691	2,158	N/A	5,103	N/A
6/30/2015	15,446	2,089	N/A	5,055	N/A
3/31/2015	13,357	1,503	N/A	5,007	N/A
12/31/2014	14,827	2,081	N/A	4,876	N/A
9/30/2014	14,452	2,142	N/A	4,744	N/A
6/30/2014	14,631	2,309	N/A	4,382	N/A
3/31/2014	14,809	2,476	N/A	4,019	N/A
12/31/2013	14,905	2,446	N/A	3,889	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NNGF's forecast earnings growth (15.5% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: NNGF's earnings (15.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (21% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NNGF's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NNGF's revenue (9.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NNGF's revenue (9.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NNGF's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.9%).

National Grid Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

National Grid plc Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2024

National Grid plc Provides Earnings Guidance for the 2022/23

Recent updates

National Grid Appoints Steve Smith as Chief Strategy and Regulation Officer

Now 21% undervalued

First half dividend of UK£0.16 announced

First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.13 (vs UK£0.29 in 1H 2024)

Now 20% undervalued

Now 20% undervalued

CEO & Executive Director recently sold €2.7m worth of stock

National Grid plc Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2024

A consortium of investors led by Macquarie Asset Management completed the acquisition of the remaining 20% equity interest in National Gas Transmission Plc from National Grid plc (LSE:NG.).

National Grid Announces Executive Changes

CEO & Executive Director recently sold €2.1m worth of stock

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

National Grid Appoints Julian Baddeley as Group Company Secretary, with Effect from 1 July 2024

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

National Grid plc(LSE:NGPN) dropped from FTSE 100 Index

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Final dividend of UK£0.39 announced

National Grid plc Recommends Final Dividend

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.60 (vs UK£0.74 in FY 2023)

National Grid plc has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of £7.001146 billion.

National Grid plc to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 23, 2024

National Grid plc Announces Board Changes

National Grid plc Approves Interim Dividend, Payable on 11 January 2024

Now 20% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.19 per share at 5.5% yield

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.29 (vs UK£0.33 in 1H 2023)

National Grid Receives $50 Million Grant from the U.S. Department of Energy

National Grid Announces Alisha Collins as Director, Community Impact & Engagement in New England

National Grid plc to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Nov 09, 2023

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

National Grid plc Announces Director & Committee Changes

National Grid Announces Lisa Wieland as President of its New England business

National Grid Appoints Jim McGaugh as U.S. Head of Corporate Affairs

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.38 per share at 5.1% yield

National Grid plc Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended March 31, 2023, Payable on August 9, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.74 (vs UK£0.61 in FY 2022)

Thérèse Esperdy Decides to Step Down from the Board of National Grid as Non-Executive Director, Effective 31 December 2023

British Columbia Investment Management Corporation and Macquarie Asset Management Inc. completed the acquisition of a 60% stake in National Grid Gas from National Grid plc (LSE:NG.).

National Grid plc Announces Board Changes

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.18 per share

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.31 (vs UK£0.10 in 1H 2022)

High number of new directors

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: UK£0.31 (vs UK£0.10 in 1H 2022)

National Grid plc Approves Interim Dividend, Payable on 11 January 2023

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

DT Midstream, Inc. (NYSE:DTM) completed the acquisition of an additional 26.25% ownership interest in Millennium Pipeline from National Grid plc (LSE:NG.).

DT Midstream, Inc. (NYSE:DTM) completed the acquisition of an additional 26.25% ownership interest in Millennium Pipeline from National Grid plc (LSE:NG.).

DT Midstream, Inc. (NYSE:DTM) has entered into an agreement to acquire an additional 26.25% ownership interest in Millennium Pipeline from National Grid plc (LSE:NG.) for approximately $550 million.

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

National Grid plc Appoints Iain Mackay as Director

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.34 per share

National Grid plc to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Nov 10, 2022

Full year 2022 earnings released

National Grid plc Provides Earnings Guidance for the 2022/23

British Columbia Investment Management Corporation and Macquarie Asset Management Inc. signed an agreement to acquire a 60% stake in UK gas transmission and metering business of National Grid plc from National Grid plc (LSE:NG.) for £9.6 billion.

British Columbia Investment Management Corporation and Macquarie Asset Management Inc. signed an agreement to acquire a 60% stake in UK gas transmission and metering business of National Grid plc from National Grid plc (LSE:NG.) for £9.6 billion.

Macquarie Reportedly Weighs Bid for Stake in National Grid's Gas Unit

Now 20% undervalued

National Grid plc Announces Mark Williamson Step Down as Director

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.17 per share

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS UK£0.10 (vs UK£0.14 in 1H 2021)

Independent Non-Executive Director Paul Golby has left the company

High number of new directors

National Grid plc (LSE:NG.) completed the acquisition of Western Power Distribution plc from PPL WPD Investments Limited.

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS UK£0.47 (vs UK£0.37 in FY 2020)

Non Executive Chairman Peter Gershon has left the company

National Grid Launches Electric Vehicle Road Trip to Highlight Northeast Charging Infrastructure

Upcoming dividend of UK£0.32 per share

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS UK£0.47 (vs UK£0.37 in FY 2020)

National Grid plc Recommends Final Dividend for Fiscal 2021

National Grid plc (LSE:NG.) entered into a sale and purchase agreement to acquire Western Power Distribution plc from PPL WPD Investments Limited for £7.8 billion.