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Fortum Oyj Valuation

Is FOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FOT (€11.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€26.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FOT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FOT?

Key metric: As FOT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FOT. This is calculated by dividing FOT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FOT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.08x
Sales€155.64b
Market Cap€12.33b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FOT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
EBK EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg
0.5xn/a€17.1b
LEC Lechwerke
2xn/a€2.5b
RWE RWE
1x4.4%€23.1b
PAMP Pampa Energía
1.9x4.6%AR$5.0t
FOT Fortum Oyj
0.08x-8.8%€12.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FOT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FOT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.9x2.1%
FOT Fortum Oyj
0.08x-8.8%US$12.06b
FOT 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies16PS00.40.81.21.62+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.9x2.2%
FOT Fortum Oyj
0.08x62.9%US$12.06b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FOT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FOT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FOT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.08x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FOT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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