Ørsted Valuation

Is D2G undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D2G when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: D2G (€52.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€15.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: D2G is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D2G?

Key metric: As D2G is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for D2G. This is calculated by dividing D2G's market cap by their current earnings.
What is D2G's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.4x
EarningsDKK 5.05b
Market CapDKK 163.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does D2G's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for D2G vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.1x
RWE RWE
8.2x-11.1%€23.1b
EBK EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg
28.5xn/a€17.1b
EOAN E.ON
17.4x8.9%€31.2b
HRPK 7C Solarparken
62.5x58.7%€156.4m
D2G Ørsted
32.4x17.7%€163.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: D2G is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the peer average (29.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does D2G's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
D2G 32.4xIndustry Avg. 16.2xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: D2G is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D2G's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D2G PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.4x
Fair PE Ratio25.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: D2G is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D2G forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€52.18
€62.18
+19.2%
9.0%€72.37€52.27n/a23
Nov ’25€54.86
€62.55
+14.0%
10.0%€72.40€51.62n/a23
Oct ’25€58.84
€62.24
+5.8%
9.3%€72.37€51.60n/a24
Sep ’25€52.06
€60.84
+16.9%
11.5%€73.73€48.26n/a24
Aug ’25€55.00
€61.17
+11.2%
11.6%€73.73€48.26n/a24
Jul ’25€50.40
€61.23
+21.5%
11.8%€75.07€48.26n/a24
Jun ’25€56.50
€60.93
+7.8%
12.0%€75.05€48.25n/a24
May ’25€51.72
€60.74
+17.4%
11.9%€75.06€48.25n/a24
Apr ’25€52.50
€59.24
+12.8%
13.0%€75.09€45.59n/a25
Mar ’25€52.20
€59.06
+13.1%
13.6%€75.14€45.62n/a25
Feb ’25€53.20
€57.99
+9.0%
15.0%€80.51€40.93n/a24
Jan ’25€50.28
€55.52
+10.4%
18.3%€80.48€40.64n/a24
Dec ’24€43.68
€55.61
+27.3%
18.5%€80.49€40.65n/a23
Nov ’24€34.02
€72.57
+113.3%
19.3%€110.53€48.23€54.8624
Oct ’24€51.60
€76.91
+49.1%
18.1%€110.64€55.92€58.8424
Sep ’24€60.14
€87.13
+44.9%
18.6%€130.86€55.97€52.0625
Aug ’24€79.10
€98.71
+24.8%
13.5%€130.86€63.62€55.0026
Jul ’24€86.16
€98.53
+14.4%
15.0%€130.94€63.66€50.4025
Jun ’24€83.50
€98.17
+17.6%
15.6%€130.92€63.65€56.5024
May ’24€81.42
€98.23
+20.6%
15.6%€130.83€63.60€51.7224
Apr ’24€78.17
€98.88
+26.5%
16.1%€130.91€63.10€52.5024
Mar ’24€81.74
€101.64
+24.3%
13.1%€130.95€70.51€52.2024
Feb ’24€82.71
€103.14
+24.7%
14.9%€138.48€67.90€53.2024
Jan ’24€85.21
€105.16
+23.4%
14.8%€138.43€67.87€50.2824
Dec ’23€87.21
€106.31
+21.9%
15.7%€138.47€67.89€43.6824
Nov ’23€83.55
€111.70
+33.7%
17.6%€141.17€67.22€34.0224

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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