Pacific Basin Shipping Limited

DB:OYD Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.3b

Pacific Basin Shipping Valuation

Is OYD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OYD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OYD (€0.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OYD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OYD?

Key metric: As OYD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OYD. This is calculated by dividing OYD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OYD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
EarningsUS$81.67m
Market CapUS$1.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OYD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OYD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
PM1 Wilson
3.1xn/a€258.8m
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft
2.3xn/a€111.9m
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
19.3x-8.9%€28.2b
HHX HAMMONIA Schiffsholding
10.5xn/a€40.7m
OYD Pacific Basin Shipping
16x35.9%€10.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OYD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (8.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OYD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OYD 16.0xIndustry Avg. 7.7xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OYD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OYD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OYD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OYD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OYD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.24
€0.35
+46.5%
7.7%€0.37€0.30n/a8
Nov ’25€0.25
€0.33
+33.4%
7.7%€0.35€0.28n/a8
Oct ’25€0.27
€0.33
+19.9%
9.1%€0.35€0.26n/a8
Sep ’25€0.24
€0.33
+36.8%
9.1%€0.35€0.26n/a8
Aug ’25€0.27
€0.35
+29.5%
10.7%€0.43€0.28n/a8
Jul ’25€0.28
€0.35
+25.0%
6.3%€0.38€0.30n/a8
Jun ’25€0.31
€0.35
+11.9%
6.2%€0.38€0.30n/a8
May ’25€0.31
€0.36
+14.5%
5.7%€0.38€0.31n/a8
Apr ’25€0.26
€0.35
+35.6%
6.4%€0.39€0.31n/a8
Mar ’25€0.27
€0.35
+28.1%
7.1%€0.39€0.31n/a8
Feb ’25€0.26
€0.34
+30.2%
9.5%€0.39€0.27n/a8
Jan ’25€0.29
€0.36
+25.8%
10.5%€0.41€0.28n/a8
Dec ’24€0.27
€0.36
+31.4%
10.5%€0.41€0.28n/a8
Nov ’24€0.26
€0.36
+40.0%
10.5%€0.41€0.28€0.258
Oct ’24€0.29
€0.36
+25.6%
8.7%€0.40€0.30€0.278
Sep ’24€0.24
€0.37
+57.1%
14.2%€0.47€0.29€0.249
Aug ’24€0.26
€0.38
+43.3%
13.4%€0.47€0.29€0.279
Jul ’24€0.28
€0.41
+46.5%
10.5%€0.49€0.36€0.289
Jun ’24€0.26
€0.43
+64.0%
12.0%€0.53€0.37€0.319
May ’24€0.30
€0.43
+40.8%
12.0%€0.53€0.37€0.319
Apr ’24€0.37
€0.43
+14.4%
15.6%€0.57€0.32€0.269
Mar ’24€0.35
€0.43
+20.8%
15.6%€0.57€0.32€0.279
Feb ’24€0.33
€0.42
+27.4%
19.6%€0.61€0.32€0.269
Jan ’24€0.30
€0.50
+66.0%
28.9%€0.75€0.33€0.299
Dec ’23€0.31
€0.52
+69.0%
26.0%€0.76€0.36€0.279
Nov ’23€0.25
€0.56
+128.6%
25.1%€0.79€0.42€0.269

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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