Orient Overseas (International) Limited

DB:ORI1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.0b

Orient Overseas (International) Valuation

Is ORI1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORI1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORI1 (€13.46) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€8.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORI1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORI1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ORI1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.4x
PEG Ratio-0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORI1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORI1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.8x
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
8.9x-94.8%€26.0b
PM1 Wilson
3.1xn/a€258.8m
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft
2.2xn/a€118.9m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
5.1x9.0%€8.2b
ORI1 Orient Overseas (International)
7.1x-15.1%€75.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORI1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (4.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORI1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-30.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-30.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORI1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (6.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORI1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORI1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.1x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ORI1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORI1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.46
€12.55
-6.7%
25.8%€17.35€8.99n/a6
Apr ’25€10.98
€12.76
+16.2%
30.1%€19.46€8.85n/a6
Mar ’25€14.06
€13.21
-6.1%
26.8%€19.50€9.13n/a6
Feb ’25€13.63
€12.49
-8.3%
20.4%€15.86€9.07n/a6
Jan ’25€12.28
€11.88
-3.3%
22.2%€15.65€8.95n/a6
Dec ’24€10.85
€12.65
+16.6%
25.6%€18.11€9.31n/a6
Nov ’24€11.68
€12.65
+8.3%
25.6%€18.11€9.31n/a6
Oct ’24€12.39
€13.02
+5.1%
25.3%€17.91€9.21n/a6
Sep ’24€11.79
€13.10
+11.1%
23.4%€17.76€9.13n/a7
Aug ’24€14.34
€13.54
-5.6%
28.4%€20.91€9.67n/a7
Jul ’24€12.30
€14.16
+15.2%
28.5%€21.24€9.79n/a7
Jun ’24€11.60
€15.67
+35.1%
27.1%€21.33€9.83n/a7
May ’24€18.00
€15.62
-13.2%
23.9%€20.75€9.57€13.357
Apr ’24€17.50
€15.86
-9.4%
24.4%€21.25€10.03€10.987
Mar ’24€15.12
€18.53
+22.5%
56.5%€44.81€10.10€14.068
Feb ’24€15.65
€20.52
+31.1%
56.3%€44.25€10.21€13.638
Jan ’24€16.72
€23.41
+40.0%
50.1%€46.19€10.66€12.288
Dec ’23€17.39
€23.41
+34.6%
50.1%€46.19€10.66€10.858
Nov ’23€15.35
€25.90
+68.8%
49.5%€48.82€11.26€11.687
Oct ’23€17.31
€33.38
+92.9%
37.8%€50.08€17.00€12.396
Sep ’23€20.80
€31.89
+53.3%
37.8%€47.84€16.24€11.796
Aug ’23€32.66
€35.28
+8.0%
29.1%€47.02€16.23€14.346
Jul ’23€24.18
€31.08
+28.5%
32.9%€41.62€15.92€12.304
Jun ’23€29.70
€27.41
-7.7%
37.0%€40.19€15.38€11.603
May ’23€26.00
€24.72
-4.9%
58.8%€47.49€9.38€18.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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