Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha

DB:NYKA Stock Report

Market Cap: €13.8b

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha Valuation

Is NYKA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NYKA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NYKA (€30.57) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€29.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NYKA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NYKA?

Key metric: As NYKA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NYKA. This is calculated by dividing NYKA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NYKA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.9x
EarningsJP¥381.11b
Market CapJP¥2.24t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NYKA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NYKA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.8x
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
19.2x-8.9%€28.2b
PM1 Wilson
3.1xn/a€258.8m
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft
2.3xn/a€111.9m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.5x14.0%€7.3b
NYKA Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha
5.9x-21.7%€2.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NYKA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NYKA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NYKA 5.9xIndustry Avg. 7.7xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NYKA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NYKA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NYKA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.9x
Fair PE Ratio8.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NYKA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NYKA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€30.57
€31.37
+2.6%
19.2%€43.85€19.82n/a9
Nov ’25€30.38
€31.37
+3.3%
19.2%€43.85€19.82n/a9
Oct ’25€32.76
€31.82
-2.9%
20.1%€45.62€20.62n/a9
Sep ’25€32.49
€31.16
-4.1%
21.6%€45.23€19.83n/a8
Aug ’25€29.41
€29.54
+0.5%
21.5%€41.85€18.34n/a8
Jul ’25€27.60
€28.75
+4.2%
19.2%€38.00€18.71n/a7
Jun ’25€29.09
€28.17
-3.1%
18.3%€38.57€21.36n/a7
May ’25€26.32
€25.66
-2.5%
29.8%€39.41€13.95n/a7
Apr ’25€25.08
€25.02
-0.2%
29.5%€40.05€14.17n/a8
Mar ’25€28.68
€23.80
-17.0%
35.7%€40.42€12.86n/a8
Feb ’25€31.88
€23.10
-27.5%
34.6%€41.09€13.07n/a8
Jan ’25€27.62
€21.48
-22.2%
29.8%€33.95€12.96n/a8
Dec ’24€24.34
€21.48
-11.8%
29.8%€33.95€12.96n/a8
Nov ’24€23.52
€21.44
-8.8%
30.9%€34.47€12.53€30.389
Oct ’24€25.04
€21.17
-15.4%
30.8%€34.89€12.69€32.769
Sep ’24€24.84
€20.33
-18.2%
28.2%€31.72€12.69€32.499
Aug ’24€21.96
€19.80
-9.9%
28.1%€32.17€12.87€29.419
Jul ’24€20.10
€19.83
-1.4%
28.8%€31.76€12.71€27.609
Jun ’24€20.36
€20.81
+2.2%
28.2%€33.57€13.43€29.099
May ’24€21.32
€21.48
+0.7%
29.4%€34.84€13.94€26.329
Apr ’24€20.90
€21.48
+2.8%
29.4%€34.84€13.94€25.089
Mar ’24€23.79
€20.88
-12.2%
30.5%€34.44€13.77€28.688
Feb ’24€22.18
€21.33
-3.8%
31.4%€35.25€14.10€31.888
Jan ’24€21.85
€25.80
+18.1%
36.8%€45.32€13.95€27.6210
Dec ’23€21.42
€25.35
+18.3%
37.8%€44.89€13.81€24.3410
Nov ’23€17.90
€26.21
+46.4%
33.2%€44.09€13.57€23.5210

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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