Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd.

DB:KLI1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.7b

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Valuation

Is KLI1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KLI1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KLI1 (€13.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€2.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KLI1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KLI1?

Key metric: As KLI1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KLI1. This is calculated by dividing KLI1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KLI1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.2x
EarningsJP¥224.82b
Market CapJP¥1.40t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KLI1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KLI1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.8x
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
19.3x-8.9%€28.2b
PM1 Wilson
3.1xn/a€258.8m
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft
2.3xn/a€111.9m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.5x14.0%€7.3b
KLI1 Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
6.2x-29.3%€1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KLI1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KLI1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KLI1 6.2xIndustry Avg. 7.7xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KLI1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KLI1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KLI1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.2x
Fair PE Ratio6.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KLI1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KLI1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.17
€12.65
-3.9%
16.4%€15.10€7.85n/a9
Nov ’25€12.73
€12.89
+1.3%
16.4%€15.39€8.00n/a9
Oct ’25€13.67
€13.03
-4.7%
17.2%€15.80€8.22n/a9
Sep ’25€13.12
€13.02
-0.8%
20.4%€16.73€8.05n/a8
Aug ’25€14.21
€13.16
-7.4%
20.2%€15.76€7.45n/a8
Jul ’25€14.23
€12.37
-13.1%
18.9%€14.61€7.60n/a7
Jun ’25€13.54
€11.76
-13.1%
23.2%€15.03€6.13n/a7
May ’25€12.97
€10.34
-20.2%
35.9%€15.36€4.65n/a7
Apr ’25€12.64
€10.09
-20.1%
36.3%€15.51€4.69n/a7
Mar ’25€16.00
€10.23
-36.0%
37.4%€15.63€4.73n/a7
Feb ’25€14.44
€9.42
-34.8%
32.2%€14.94€4.77n/a8
Jan ’25€12.79
€8.77
-31.4%
28.3%€11.93€4.73n/a8
Dec ’24€11.00
€8.77
-20.2%
28.3%€11.93€4.73n/a8
Nov ’24€11.05
€8.57
-22.4%
31.7%€12.12€3.97€12.739
Oct ’24€10.87
€8.31
-23.6%
33.3%€12.27€4.02€13.679
Sep ’24€10.88
€7.70
-29.3%
28.8%€11.42€4.02€13.129
Aug ’24€9.28
€7.23
-22.1%
26.2%€11.15€4.08€14.219
Jul ’24€7.41
€6.97
-5.9%
26.3%€11.01€4.02€14.239
Jun ’24€6.99
€7.22
+3.3%
27.9%€11.64€4.25€13.549
May ’24€7.16
€7.12
-0.6%
30.3%€11.98€3.69€12.979
Apr ’24€6.90
€7.12
+3.2%
30.3%€11.98€3.69€12.649
Mar ’24€7.48
€7.08
-5.4%
30.4%€11.94€3.67€16.009
Feb ’24€6.55
€7.30
+11.4%
32.2%€12.22€3.76€14.448
Jan ’24€6.50
€8.04
+23.8%
39.6%€15.73€3.72€12.7910
Dec ’23€6.00
€7.90
+31.5%
40.7%€15.58€3.68€11.0010
Nov ’23€4.91
€7.97
+62.5%
39.0%€15.30€3.62€11.0510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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