Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd.

DB:KLI1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.2b

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Valuation

Is KLI1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KLI1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KLI1 (€12.72) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€12.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KLI1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KLI1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KLI1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14x
PEG Ratio-1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KLI1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KLI1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.8x
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
8.9x-94.8%€26.0b
PM1 Wilson
3.1xn/a€258.8m
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft
2.2xn/a€118.9m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
5.1x9.0%€8.2b
KLI1 Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
11.6x-11.8%€1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KLI1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (4.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KLI1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-30.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-30.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KLI1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (6.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KLI1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KLI1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KLI1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KLI1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.72
€10.34
-18.6%
35.9%€15.36€4.65n/a7
Apr ’25€12.64
€10.09
-20.1%
36.3%€15.51€4.69n/a7
Mar ’25€16.00
€10.23
-36.0%
37.4%€15.63€4.73n/a7
Feb ’25€14.44
€9.42
-34.8%
32.2%€14.94€4.77n/a8
Jan ’25€12.79
€8.77
-31.4%
28.3%€11.93€4.73n/a8
Dec ’24€11.00
€8.77
-20.2%
28.3%€11.93€4.73n/a8
Nov ’24€11.05
€8.57
-22.4%
31.7%€12.12€3.97n/a9
Oct ’24€10.87
€8.31
-23.6%
33.3%€12.27€4.02n/a9
Sep ’24€10.88
€7.70
-29.3%
28.8%€11.42€4.02n/a9
Aug ’24€9.28
€7.23
-22.1%
26.2%€11.15€4.08n/a9
Jul ’24€7.41
€6.97
-5.9%
26.3%€11.01€4.02n/a9
Jun ’24€6.99
€7.22
+3.3%
27.9%€11.64€4.25n/a9
May ’24€7.16
€7.12
-0.6%
30.3%€11.98€3.69€12.979
Apr ’24€6.90
€7.12
+3.2%
30.3%€11.98€3.69€12.649
Mar ’24€7.48
€7.08
-5.4%
30.4%€11.94€3.67€16.009
Feb ’24€6.55
€7.30
+11.4%
32.2%€12.22€3.76€14.448
Jan ’24€6.50
€8.04
+23.8%
39.6%€15.73€3.72€12.7910
Dec ’23€6.00
€7.90
+31.5%
40.7%€15.58€3.68€11.0010
Nov ’23€4.91
€7.97
+62.5%
39.0%€15.30€3.62€11.0510
Oct ’23€4.72
€9.43
+100.0%
29.3%€15.93€5.49€10.8710
Sep ’23€6.79
€9.80
+44.2%
29.3%€16.54€5.70€10.8810
Aug ’23€8.34
€10.03
+20.3%
27.0%€16.19€5.58€9.2810
Jul ’23€6.38
€9.48
+48.6%
31.1%€15.74€5.04€7.4110
Jun ’23€8.72
€8.60
-1.3%
32.8%€14.19€5.30€6.999
May ’23€5.50
€8.08
+47.1%
32.8%€14.51€5.42€7.169

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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