Does Hamburger Hafen und Logistik’s (FRA:HHFA) Share Price Gain of 65% Match Its Business Performance?

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By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft (FRA:HHFA) shareholders have seen the share price rise 65% over three years, well in excess of the market return (16%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven’t been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 12%, including dividends.

View our latest analysis for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik

To quote Buffett, ‘Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace…’ One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik was able to grow its EPS at 19% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. We note that the 18% yearly (average) share price gain isn’t too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. This observation indicates that the market’s attitude to the business hasn’t changed all that much. Quite to the contrary, the share price has arguably reflected the EPS growth.

The company’s earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

DB:HHFA Past and Future Earnings, May 6th 2019
DB:HHFA Past and Future Earnings, May 6th 2019

We know that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you’re interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik the TSR over the last 3 years was 83%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It’s nice to see that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 12% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That’s better than the annualised return of 8.1% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. Importantly, we haven’t analysed Hamburger Hafen und Logistik’s dividend history. This free visual report on its dividends is a must-read if you’re thinking of buying.

If you would prefer to check out another company — one with potentially superior financials — then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.