Stock Analysis

At €7.67, Is Deutsche Lufthansa AG (ETR:LHA) Worth Looking At Closely?

XTRA:LHA
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Deutsche Lufthansa AG (ETR:LHA), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the XTRA. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Deutsche Lufthansa’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Deutsche Lufthansa

Is Deutsche Lufthansa Still Cheap?

Great news for investors – Deutsche Lufthansa is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Deutsche Lufthansa’s ratio of 4.78x is below its peer average of 6x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Airlines industry. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because Deutsche Lufthansa’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Deutsche Lufthansa look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:LHA Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Deutsche Lufthansa, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 2.9%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Even though growth is relatively muted, since LHA is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, it may be a great time to increase your holdings in the stock. However, there are also other factors such as financial health to consider, which could explain the current price multiple.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on LHA for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its future profit outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy LHA. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed assessment.

Since timing is quite important when it comes to individual stock picking, it's worth taking a look at what those latest analysts forecasts are. At Simply Wall St, we have the analysts estimates which you can view by clicking here.

If you are no longer interested in Deutsche Lufthansa, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.