Millicom International Cellular S.A.

HMSE:M4M1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.2b

Millicom International Cellular Valuation

Is M4M1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M4M1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M4M1 (€23.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€215.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M4M1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M4M1?

Key metric: As M4M1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for M4M1. This is calculated by dividing M4M1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is M4M1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.4x
EarningsUS$158.00m
Market CapUS$4.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M4M1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M4M1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
FNTN freenet
12.4x4.2%€3.4b
1U1 1&1
8x4.2%€2.1b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
22.7x-11.4%€6.1b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
26.5x-41.1%€7.2b
M4M1 Millicom International Cellular
28.4x28.4%€4.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M4M1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M4M1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
M4M1 28.4xIndustry Avg. 16.6xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M4M1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M4M1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M4M1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate M4M1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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