Telecom Italia Valuation

Is TQI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TQI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TQI (€0.22) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TQI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TQI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TQI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TQI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TQI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
UTDI United Internet
0.6x4.0%€3.9b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
0.8x-0.9%€7.0b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
0.8x-1.1%€7.2b
VTWR Vantage Towers
17.3xn/a€18.9b
TQI Telecom Italia
0.3x-0.6%€4.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TQI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TQI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TQI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TQI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TQI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TQI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TQI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.22
€0.33
+47.4%
21.9%€0.45€0.20n/a14
Apr ’25€0.23
€0.33
+48.0%
21.2%€0.45€0.20n/a13
Mar ’25€0.28
€0.35
+27.2%
18.5%€0.45€0.25n/a14
Feb ’25€0.28
€0.33
+18.1%
19.8%€0.42€0.20n/a13
Jan ’25€0.30
€0.33
+10.3%
19.3%€0.42€0.20n/a14
Dec ’24€0.27
€0.33
+24.5%
18.7%€0.42€0.20n/a15
Nov ’24€0.24
€0.32
+37.1%
24.9%€0.45€0.16n/a17
Oct ’24€0.29
€0.32
+9.0%
22.9%€0.41€0.16n/a16
Sep ’24€0.29
€0.32
+10.5%
25.5%€0.41€0.15n/a16
Aug ’24€0.27
€0.31
+15.3%
26.1%€0.41€0.15n/a16
Jul ’24€0.26
€0.30
+16.9%
27.3%€0.42€0.15n/a16
Jun ’24€0.24
€0.30
+25.1%
27.5%€0.42€0.15n/a16
May ’24€0.27
€0.31
+12.5%
27.9%€0.42€0.14€0.2216
Apr ’24€0.30
€0.31
+1.3%
28.3%€0.42€0.14€0.2316
Mar ’24€0.31
€0.31
-0.3%
28.3%€0.42€0.14€0.2816
Feb ’24€0.27
€0.30
+9.2%
31.8%€0.42€0.14€0.2817
Jan ’24€0.22
€0.30
+34.8%
34.1%€0.45€0.14€0.3018
Dec ’23€0.20
€0.30
+50.7%
32.3%€0.45€0.15€0.2718
Nov ’23€0.19
€0.30
+60.9%
31.4%€0.45€0.15€0.2418
Oct ’23€0.17
€0.30
+73.3%
29.5%€0.43€0.15€0.2918
Sep ’23€0.20
€0.31
+53.3%
27.0%€0.43€0.15€0.2918
Aug ’23€0.21
€0.33
+56.5%
32.7%€0.55€0.15€0.2718
Jul ’23€0.24
€0.34
+43.1%
29.9%€0.55€0.15€0.2616
Jun ’23€0.29
€0.33
+13.3%
33.5%€0.55€0.15€0.2415
May ’23€0.27
€0.35
+27.9%
32.0%€0.55€0.15€0.2715

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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