Koninklijke KPN Valuation

Is KPN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KPN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KPN (€3.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€10.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KPN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KPN?

Key metric: As KPN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KPN. This is calculated by dividing KPN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KPN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.6x
Earnings€800.00m
Market Cap€14.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KPN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KPN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
26.5x-41.1%€7.2b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
22.7x-11.4%€6.2b
DTE Deutsche Telekom
24.1x18.8%€144.3b
FNTN freenet
12.4x4.2%€3.4b
KPN Koninklijke KPN
17.6x6.8%€14.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KPN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KPN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KPN 17.6xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KPN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KPN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KPN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio24.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KPN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KPN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.60
€3.86
+7.3%
12.5%€4.70€2.30n/a22
Nov ’25€3.62
€3.84
+6.1%
12.4%€4.70€2.30n/a22
Oct ’25€3.67
€3.81
+4.0%
11.9%€4.50€2.30n/a22
Sep ’25€3.67
€3.78
+3.3%
12.2%€4.50€2.30n/a21
Aug ’25€3.61
€3.78
+4.6%
12.3%€4.50€2.30n/a21
Jul ’25€3.62
€3.70
+2.3%
13.1%€4.60€2.30n/a21
Jun ’25€3.44
€3.69
+7.3%
13.1%€4.60€2.30n/a21
May ’25€3.41
€3.69
+8.2%
13.1%€4.60€2.30n/a21
Apr ’25€3.46
€3.66
+5.7%
13.4%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Mar ’25€3.39
€3.63
+7.0%
13.4%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Feb ’25€3.18
€3.62
+13.7%
13.5%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Jan ’25€3.11
€3.59
+15.6%
13.6%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Dec ’24€3.12
€3.58
+14.7%
12.9%€4.30€2.30n/a20
Nov ’24€3.18
€3.60
+13.3%
13.1%€4.30€2.30€3.6220
Oct ’24€3.12
€3.61
+15.5%
13.6%€4.40€2.30€3.6720
Sep ’24€3.22
€3.64
+13.0%
13.5%€4.40€2.30€3.6719
Aug ’24€3.30
€3.64
+10.3%
13.5%€4.40€2.30€3.6119
Jul ’24€3.35
€3.64
+8.7%
13.1%€4.40€2.30€3.6218
Jun ’24€3.21
€3.61
+12.7%
12.8%€4.40€2.30€3.4419
May ’24€3.28
€3.58
+9.1%
14.1%€4.40€2.30€3.4119
Apr ’24€3.24
€3.54
+9.2%
14.2%€4.40€2.30€3.4620
Mar ’24€3.21
€3.52
+9.6%
14.6%€4.40€2.30€3.3920
Feb ’24€3.14
€3.42
+9.0%
16.4%€4.40€2.30€3.1820
Jan ’24€2.90
€3.39
+16.9%
16.2%€4.40€2.30€3.1120
Dec ’23€2.93
€3.42
+16.7%
15.8%€4.40€2.30€3.1220
Nov ’23€2.77
€3.42
+23.4%
15.7%€4.40€2.30€3.1821

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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