Viavi Solutions Valuation

Is UNS1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UNS1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UNS1 (€10.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UNS1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UNS1?

Key metric: As UNS1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for UNS1. This is calculated by dividing UNS1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is UNS1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.5x
SalesUS$990.70m
Market CapUS$2.45b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does UNS1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for UNS1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
ADV Adtran Networks
2.2x4.6%€1.0b
FEW Funkwerk
0.9xn/a€159.6m
CEK CeoTronics
1.7x10.2%€50.3m
JEN Jenoptik
1.1x4.6%€1.2b
UNS1 Viavi Solutions
2.5x5.5%€2.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: UNS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does UNS1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UNS1 2.5xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies7PS00.81.62.43.24+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: UNS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the European Communications industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UNS1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UNS1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: UNS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UNS1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.60
€9.77
-7.8%
14.2%€12.27€7.55n/a6
Dec ’25€9.30
€9.77
+5.0%
14.2%€12.27€7.55n/a6
Nov ’25€8.40
€9.50
+13.2%
15.5%€12.00€7.38n/a5
Oct ’25€8.05
€8.43
+4.8%
12.4%€10.07€7.33n/a6
Sep ’25€7.70
€8.43
+9.5%
12.4%€10.07€7.33n/a6
Aug ’25€7.40
€9.25
+24.9%
16.5%€12.17€7.72n/a6
Jul ’25€6.35
€9.25
+45.6%
16.5%€12.17€7.72n/a6
Jun ’25€6.80
€9.60
+41.2%
13.3%€12.08€8.36n/a6
May ’25€7.45
€12.07
+62.0%
17.9%€15.97€8.46n/a7
Apr ’25€8.80
€12.09
+37.4%
18.9%€15.83€8.38n/a7
Mar ’25€8.79
€10.58
+20.4%
13.9%€12.05€8.34n/a7
Feb ’25€9.06
€9.73
+7.4%
12.9%€10.98€7.78n/a7
Jan ’25€9.04
€9.97
+10.3%
15.1%€12.32€7.81n/a7
Dec ’24€7.36
€9.85
+33.8%
15.0%€12.50€7.93€9.307
Nov ’24€7.31
€11.52
+57.6%
10.6%€13.22€9.44€8.407
Oct ’24€8.63
€11.08
+28.4%
10.1%€12.82€9.16€8.057
Sep ’24€9.60
€11.08
+15.4%
10.1%€12.82€9.16€7.707
Aug ’24€9.84
€10.52
+7.0%
9.2%€11.58€8.91€7.407
Jul ’24€10.16
€10.63
+4.7%
8.9%€11.76€9.05€6.357
Jun ’24€9.12
€10.63
+16.6%
8.9%€11.76€9.05€6.807
May ’24€7.94
€11.04
+39.1%
10.0%€12.76€9.57€7.457
Apr ’24€9.75
€13.01
+33.4%
11.2%€14.90€11.17€8.807
Mar ’24€10.27
€13.01
+26.7%
11.2%€14.90€11.17€8.797
Feb ’24€10.33
€13.29
+28.6%
12.6%€15.07€10.36€9.068
Jan ’24€9.80
€13.29
+35.7%
12.6%€15.07€10.36€9.048
Dec ’23€10.79
€13.64
+26.4%
9.9%€15.20€11.40€7.368

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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