Seagate Technology Holdings plc

DB:STT Stock Report

Market Cap: €18.3b

Seagate Technology Holdings Valuation

Is STT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STT (€88.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€122.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

STT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA58.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does STT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for STT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
WDC Western Digital
2.1x16.9%US$24.9b
C3RY Cherry
0.4x6.5%€54.5m
992 Lenovo Group
0.3x7.5%HK$144.1b
LOGN Logitech International
3.4x5.1%CHF13.4b
STT Seagate Technology Holdings
3.2x18.1%€19.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: STT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Tech Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: STT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the European Tech industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: STT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€88.50
€88.67
+0.2%
18.0%€110.18€50.92n/a21
May ’25n/a
€88.91
0%
18.3%€111.30€51.44n/a20
Apr ’25€87.05
€84.72
-2.7%
20.1%€106.18€46.17n/a20
Mar ’25€85.85
€81.18
-5.4%
20.5%€106.03€46.10n/a20
Feb ’25€78.99
€79.94
+1.2%
20.5%€105.80€46.00n/a19
Jan ’25€78.13
€63.25
-19.1%
16.3%€83.12€36.14n/a19
Dec ’24€72.14
€64.25
-10.9%
14.1%€80.06€37.68n/a19
Nov ’24n/a
€64.25
0%
14.1%€80.06€37.68n/a19
Oct ’24n/a
€59.70
0%
14.3%€74.87€37.44n/a19
Sep ’24n/a
€57.29
0%
15.0%€72.70€36.35n/a20
Aug ’24€57.49
€56.92
-1.0%
14.4%€71.12€36.47n/a19
Jul ’24n/a
€57.43
0%
15.1%€71.46€30.23n/a19
Jun ’24€55.23
€57.96
+5.0%
14.9%€66.86€29.72n/a19
May ’24n/a
€56.29
0%
14.7%€65.54€29.13n/a19
Apr ’24n/a
€62.93
0%
15.2%€76.36€32.59€87.0519
Mar ’24€60.02
€63.39
+5.6%
14.8%€76.78€32.77€85.8520
Feb ’24€61.61
€61.38
-0.4%
14.3%€73.62€32.21€78.9920
Jan ’24n/a
€58.81
0%
14.1%€70.25€38.14€78.1320
Dec ’23€50.58
€58.81
+16.3%
14.1%€70.25€38.14€72.1420
Nov ’23€50.48
€58.81
+16.5%
14.1%€70.25€38.14n/a20
Oct ’23€58.44
€78.02
+33.5%
16.8%€103.90€41.56n/a21
Sep ’23€69.61
€79.07
+13.6%
14.7%€100.54€58.31n/a20
Aug ’23€75.86
€83.79
+10.5%
16.5%€117.37€56.73€57.4921
Jul ’23n/a
€93.56
0%
16.4%€123.21€63.50n/a21
Jun ’23€81.66
€95.09
+16.4%
15.0%€123.73€63.77€55.2321
May ’23€76.40
€95.09
+24.5%
15.0%€123.73€63.77n/a21

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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