Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for DB:NVAX using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
DB:NVAX DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Hana Microelectronics's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a moderate discount (< 20%).
Hana Microelectronics's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Hana Microelectronics's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Hana Microelectronics's earnings are expected to grow by 3.2% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Hana Microelectronics's revenue is expected to grow by 3.3% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Hana Microelectronics's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
1/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Hana Microelectronics's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Hana Microelectronics is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Hana Microelectronics's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Hana Microelectronics's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Hana Microelectronics has no debt, it does not need to be covered by short term assets.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Richard David Han has been the Chief Executive Officer of Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited since 1993 and serves as its Executive Vice Chairman and has been its Executive Director since July 26, 1993. Mr. Han has been the Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director of Hana Group., a subsidiary of Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited since 1989. He has been a Director of Thai British Security Printing Public Company Limited since August 21, 1998. Mr. Han holds an M.B.A. (Marketing) from the City University, London IOD Training Background.
Insufficient data for Richard to compare compensation growth.
Richard's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in Germany.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Hana Microelectronics management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
Executive Vice Chairman & CEO
Senior Financial & Accounting Manager
Corporate Vice President of Technologies & Products Development
Senior Corporate Administration & Human Resources Director
Head of Compliance Unit
CEO & President of Hana Microdisplay Technologies Inc
VP & GM of Hana-Lamphun
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Hana Microelectronics board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades in electronic components. It offers printed circuit board assemblies and integrated circuits. The company also provides agent and customer services. It has operations in Thailand, Malaysia, China, Taiwan, the United States, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.