Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

DB:MUR1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €29.6b

Murata Manufacturing Valuation

Is MUR1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MUR1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MUR1 (€15.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€25.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MUR1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MUR1?

Key metric: As MUR1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MUR1. This is calculated by dividing MUR1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MUR1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsJP¥186.01b
Market CapJP¥4.77t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MUR1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MUR1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.5x
2308 Delta Electronics
27.6x15.4%NT$1.0t
000725 BOE Technology Group
33.2x43.6%CN¥154.9b
20.4x9.1%JP¥3.6t
002475 Luxshare Precision Industry
20.9x19.7%CN¥264.8b
MUR1 Murata Manufacturing
25.7x16.3%€4.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MUR1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MUR1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electronic Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MUR1 25.7xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MUR1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the European Electronic industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MUR1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MUR1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MUR1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MUR1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.65
€22.59
+44.4%
14.6%€33.86€18.47n/a17
Nov ’25€15.72
€22.13
+40.8%
14.6%€33.18€18.10n/a17
Oct ’25€17.82
€23.95
+34.4%
13.9%€34.61€18.88n/a17
Sep ’25€18.70
€24.25
+29.7%
13.2%€34.20€18.65n/a17
Aug ’25€19.42
€24.59
+26.6%
13.3%€34.03€18.56n/a17
Jul ’25€18.73
€20.01
+6.8%
5.7%€23.07€17.30n/a18
Jun ’25€17.33
€20.11
+16.1%
4.5%€21.19€17.66n/a18
May ’25€17.18
€20.06
+16.8%
5.3%€21.31€17.76n/a18
Apr ’25€17.13
€20.60
+20.3%
5.2%€22.04€18.37n/a18
Mar ’25€18.48
€20.56
+11.3%
5.1%€22.15€18.46n/a16
Feb ’25€19.08
€20.70
+8.5%
4.9%€22.10€18.68n/a15
Jan ’25€18.94
€20.93
+10.5%
4.1%€22.57€19.35n/a14
Dec ’24€17.47
€19.67
+12.6%
7.5%€21.91€15.65n/a15
Nov ’24€16.97
€19.27
+13.6%
8.3%€21.95€15.68€15.7216
Oct ’24€17.20
€19.62
+14.0%
8.6%€22.15€15.82€17.8216
Sep ’24€17.07
€19.58
+14.7%
8.4%€22.20€15.86€18.7017
Aug ’24€18.25
€19.57
+7.2%
9.3%€22.37€14.49€19.4218
Jul ’24€17.29
€19.46
+12.6%
8.9%€22.56€14.61€18.7318
Jun ’24€18.19
€19.75
+8.6%
10.3%€23.36€15.13€17.3318
May ’24€17.21
€19.74
+14.7%
9.7%€23.31€15.54€17.1818
Apr ’24€18.17
€20.93
+15.2%
9.5%€24.64€16.43€17.1318
Mar ’24€16.66
€20.12
+20.8%
9.6%€23.06€16.14€18.4818
Feb ’24€17.82
€20.52
+15.1%
9.5%€23.55€17.19€19.0818
Jan ’24€15.25
€21.13
+38.5%
18.2%€34.60€17.07€18.9417
Dec ’23€17.43
€21.11
+21.1%
18.2%€34.36€16.95€17.4717
Nov ’23€16.00
€21.14
+32.2%
18.8%€34.16€15.49€16.9717

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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