Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated

DB:DBDB Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.6b

Diebold Nixdorf Valuation

Is DBDB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DBDB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DBDB (€41.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€127.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DBDB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DBDB?

Key metric: As DBDB is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DBDB. This is calculated by dividing DBDB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DBDB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUS$3.80b
Market CapUS$1.72b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DBDB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DBDB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
JY0 ParTec
7.3x36.6%€604.0m
M3BK Pyramid
0.3x8.8%€20.4m
HYI Hyrican Informationssysteme
1xn/a€25.7m
C3RY Cherry
0.1x1.8%€15.4m
DBDB Diebold Nixdorf
0.5x1.2%€1.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DBDB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DBDB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Tech Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DBDB 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies7PS00.61.21.82.43+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DBDB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Tech industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DBDB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DBDB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DBDB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DBDB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€41.15
€53.65
+30.4%
13.0%€60.65€46.65n/a2
Nov ’25€42.70
€52.66
+23.3%
13.0%€59.53€45.80n/a2
Oct ’25€39.70
€52.66
+32.7%
13.0%€59.53€45.80n/a2
Sep ’25€38.40
€52.66
+37.1%
13.0%€59.53€45.80n/a2
Aug ’25€39.50
€48.40
+22.5%
4.8%€50.70€46.10n/a2
Jul ’25€35.15
€48.28
+37.4%
4.8%€50.58€45.98n/a2
Jun ’25€39.60
€48.75
+23.1%
4.8%€51.07€46.43n/a2
May ’25€29.60
€38.69
+30.7%
3.6%€40.08€37.29n/a2
Apr ’25€31.65
€37.95
+19.9%
3.6%€39.32€36.58n/a2
Mar ’25€30.15
€38.53
+27.8%
3.6%€39.93€37.14n/a2
Feb ’25n/a
€25.27
0%
7.4%€27.14€23.40n/a2
Jan ’25n/a
€25.27
0%
7.4%€27.14€23.40n/a2
Dec ’24n/a
€25.27
0%
7.4%€27.14€23.40n/a2
Nov ’24n/a
€21.19
0%
11.1%€23.55€18.84€42.702
Oct ’24n/a
€20.69
0%
11.1%€22.99€18.39€39.702
Sep ’24n/a
€20.69
0%
11.1%€22.99€18.39€38.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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