Super Micro Computer, Inc.

XTRA:MS51 Stock Report

Market Cap: €17.3b

Super Micro Computer Valuation

Is MS51 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MS51 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MS51 (€28.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€45.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MS51 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MS51?

Key metric: As MS51 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MS51. This is calculated by dividing MS51's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MS51's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.6x
EarningsUS$792.81m
Market CapUS$20.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MS51's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MS51 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average65.7x
6669 Wiwynn
18.4x18.12%NT$818.6b
301308 Shenzhen Longsys Electronics
170.1x46.32%CN¥111.3b
3017 Asia Vital Components
37.2x33.00%NT$553.2b
000977 Inspur Electronic Information Industry
37x28.78%CN¥92.1b
MS51 Super Micro Computer
25.6x50.67%€20.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MS51 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the peer average (65.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MS51's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Tech Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MS51 25.6xIndustry Avg. 21.3xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MS51 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the European Tech industry average (22.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MS51's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MS51 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.6x
Fair PE Ratio41.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MS51 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MS51 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.01
€41.88
+49.50%
32.58%€80.25€12.94n/a17
Dec ’26€28.51
€41.88
+46.88%
32.58%€80.25€12.94n/a17
Nov ’26€44.40
€45.67
+2.85%
25.80%€79.85€25.76n/a16
Oct ’26€42.49
€43.97
+3.49%
25.93%€78.64€22.83n/a16
Sep ’26€35.19
€44.99
+27.85%
26.40%€79.85€23.18n/a15
Aug ’26€49.15
€38.63
-21.40%
40.79%€79.18€12.77n/a16
Jul ’26€40.26
€36.96
-8.19%
43.81%€80.06€12.91n/a16
Jun ’26€35.11
€38.06
+8.40%
43.81%€82.44€13.30n/a16
May ’26€27.09
€42.06
+55.28%
45.27%€82.03€13.23n/a13
Apr ’26€32.94
€47.87
+45.34%
40.16%€86.12€13.89n/a13
Mar ’26€40.58
€47.98
+18.23%
41.70%€89.67€14.46n/a12
Feb ’26€29.13
€37.06
+27.23%
53.90%€89.27€14.40n/a10
Jan ’26€30.05
€38.20
+27.13%
48.94%€89.13€22.04n/a10
Dec ’25€30.88
€35.73
+15.72%
53.20%€87.81€21.72€28.519
Nov ’25€25.15
€57.81
+129.86%
38.74%€92.28€29.63€44.4011
Oct ’25€38.43
€67.68
+76.13%
42.45%€117.44€29.36€42.4915
Sep ’25€38.90
€79.25
+103.75%
39.52%€135.44€29.34€35.1913
Aug ’25€64.01
€95.36
+48.98%
27.52%€138.41€29.99€49.1514
Jul ’25€76.37
€95.83
+25.49%
28.10%€139.23€26.45€40.2614
Jun ’25€71.35
€95.83
+34.31%
28.10%€139.23€26.45€35.1114
May ’25€83.17
€90.50
+8.81%
32.72%€140.30€26.66€27.0915
Apr ’25n/a
€84.82
0%
35.64%€124.55€23.07€32.9415
Mar ’25n/a
€68.70
0%
34.20%€119.81€23.04€40.5814
Feb ’25n/a
€52.41
0%
22.30%€64.56€23.06€29.1311
Jan ’25n/a
€33.55
0%
25.96%€45.87€14.68€30.0510
Dec ’24n/a
€35.33
0%
21.22%€47.08€22.60€30.8810
€39.96
Fair Value
29.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/12 16:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/12 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dong WangBarclays
Timothy LongBarclays
Ruplu BhattacharyaBofA Global Research