Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)

XTRA:ERCB Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.0b

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson Valuation

Is ERCB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ERCB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ERCB (€4.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ERCB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ERCB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ERCB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ERCB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ERCB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
ADV Adtran Networks
1.7x-1.6%€1.0b
FEW Funkwerk
1xn/a€162.0m
CEK CeoTronics
2.1x16.1%€54.8m
1.1x3.0%CN¥127.4b
ERCB Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
0.7x1.9%€187.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ERCB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ERCB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a45.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a45.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ERCB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the European Communications industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ERCB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ERCB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ERCB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ERCB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.81
€5.50
+14.4%
22.1%€8.39€3.42n/a19
Apr ’25€5.14
€5.71
+11.1%
21.4%€8.54€3.66n/a19
Mar ’25€5.00
€5.76
+15.2%
21.8%€8.68€3.72n/a20
Feb ’25€5.05
€5.72
+13.2%
21.6%€8.72€3.74n/a20
Jan ’25€5.71
€5.76
+0.9%
23.0%€8.62€3.81n/a19
Dec ’24€4.59
€5.17
+12.6%
25.1%€8.31€3.67n/a18
Nov ’24€4.22
€5.17
+22.4%
25.7%€8.05€3.56n/a19
Oct ’24€4.63
€5.57
+20.4%
22.3%€8.23€3.90n/a20
Sep ’24€4.75
€5.40
+13.8%
21.9%€8.00€3.79n/a21
Aug ’24€4.61
€5.49
+19.2%
21.9%€8.15€3.86n/a21
Jul ’24€4.99
€5.77
+15.7%
21.2%€9.05€4.10n/a22
Jun ’24€4.87
€5.96
+22.4%
21.4%€9.32€4.22n/a21
May ’24€4.96
€5.89
+18.9%
22.3%€9.30€4.11€4.8122
Apr ’24€5.38
€6.25
+16.2%
20.9%€9.38€4.15€5.1423
Mar ’24€5.17
€6.07
+17.4%
19.3%€8.80€4.12€5.0022
Feb ’24€5.31
€6.07
+14.3%
19.3%€8.80€4.12€5.0522
Jan ’24€5.53
€7.09
+28.2%
20.7%€9.84€4.23€5.7123
Dec ’23€6.24
€7.15
+14.6%
20.6%€9.94€4.27€4.5923
Nov ’23€5.72
€7.27
+27.2%
21.0%€10.02€4.31€4.2221
Oct ’23€5.95
€8.66
+45.6%
21.4%€11.52€5.23€4.6318
Sep ’23€7.25
€9.25
+27.6%
19.8%€12.00€5.45€4.7519
Aug ’23€7.37
€9.25
+25.6%
19.8%€12.00€5.45€4.6119
Jul ’23€7.00
€9.90
+41.5%
20.7%€13.96€5.28€4.9921
Jun ’23€7.56
€10.24
+35.5%
19.4%€14.14€5.35€4.8722
May ’23€7.75
€10.44
+34.8%
19.8%€14.43€5.46€4.9621

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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