The Sage Group plc

DB:SGK1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.9b

Sage Group Valuation

Is SGK1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of SGK1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: SGK1 (€9.29) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€14)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: SGK1 is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGK1?

Key metric: As SGK1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGK1. This is calculated by dividing SGK1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGK1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.1x
EarningsUK£369.00m
Market CapUK£7.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGK1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGK1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
NEM Nemetschek
38.3x17.60%€7.8b
AOF ATOSS Software
28.5x10.56%€1.4b
TMV TeamViewer
6x8.51%€704.5m
MUM Mensch und Maschine Software
21.9x12.64%€636.9m
SGK1 Sage Group
21.1x11.56%€7.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGK1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGK1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SGK1 21.1xIndustry Avg. 23.7xNo. of Companies22PE020406080100+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGK1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the European Software industry average (23.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGK1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGK1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.1x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SGK1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGK1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.29
€14.69
+58.05%
14.22%€18.31€10.87n/a19
Feb ’27€10.79
€14.96
+38.64%
12.97%€18.48€11.55n/a19
Jan ’27€12.14
€14.85
+22.37%
13.71%€18.46€11.39n/a18
Dec ’26€12.16
€15.06
+23.85%
13.31%€18.21€11.95n/a18
Nov ’26€13.58
€15.37
+13.22%
12.51%€18.39€12.07n/a17
Oct ’26€12.34
€15.32
+24.18%
12.51%€18.33€12.03n/a17
Sep ’26€12.28
€15.56
+26.69%
12.76%€18.46€12.11n/a17
Aug ’26€13.80
€15.54
+12.66%
12.43%€18.51€12.14n/a18
Jul ’26€14.48
€15.72
+8.58%
12.64%€18.65€12.24n/a18
Jun ’26€14.11
€15.99
+13.30%
12.41%€18.99€12.46n/a18
May ’26€14.03
€15.69
+11.80%
13.58%€18.74€11.71n/a18
Apr ’26€14.13
€16.20
+14.63%
13.48%€19.16€11.98n/a19
Mar ’26€15.32
€16.37
+6.86%
14.49%€19.40€12.12€9.3319
Feb ’26€15.56
€15.92
+2.29%
15.46%€19.14€11.96€10.7919
Jan ’26€15.44
€15.81
+2.45%
13.72%€18.81€12.13€12.1420
Dec ’25€15.40
€15.36
-0.24%
13.37%€18.28€12.00€12.1620
Nov ’25€11.26
€14.29
+26.93%
13.16%€17.89€10.49€13.5820
Oct ’25€12.05
€14.40
+19.58%
13.16%€18.01€10.57€12.3420
Sep ’25€11.85
€14.03
+18.49%
13.29%€17.57€10.31€12.2820
Aug ’25€12.62
€14.28
+13.16%
13.62%€17.81€10.45€13.8020
Jul ’25€12.77
€14.34
+12.33%
14.11%€17.66€10.36€14.4820
Jun ’25€11.69
€14.36
+22.82%
14.36%€17.61€10.33€14.1120
May ’25€13.33
€14.04
+5.36%
16.23%€17.56€9.47€14.0321
Apr ’25€14.44
€13.77
-4.62%
15.22%€17.52€9.45€14.1321
Mar ’25€14.24
€13.52
-5.04%
15.36%€16.37€9.46€15.3221
€14.19
Fair Value
34.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/02 23:17
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/02 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Sage Group plc is covered by 36 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexander ToutArete Research Services LLP
Knut WollerBaader Helvea Equity Research
Sven MerktBarclays