MARA Holdings Valuation

Is M44 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M44 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M44 (€25.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€142.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M44 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M44?

Key metric: As M44 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for M44. This is calculated by dividing M44's market cap by their current earnings.
What is M44's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52.7x
EarningsUS$164.55m
Market CapUS$8.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M44's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M44 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.8x
NEM Nemetschek
65.6x18.6%€11.2b
AOF ATOSS Software
43.2x7.8%€1.9b
TMV TeamViewer
14.7x11.1%€1.7b
MUM Mensch und Maschine Software
27.6x14.0%€881.9m
M44 MARA Holdings
52.7x-96.7%€8.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M44 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.7x) compared to the peer average (37.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M44's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
M44 52.7xIndustry Avg. 26.9xNo. of Companies20PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M44 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.7x) compared to the European Software industry average (26.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M44's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M44 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate M44's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst M44 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.42
€23.13
-9.0%
31.7%€40.02€11.43n/a11
Nov ’25€14.93
€18.75
+25.6%
21.8%€24.70€10.98n/a10
Oct ’25€13.56
€18.37
+35.4%
23.1%€24.26€10.78n/a9
Sep ’25€15.15
€18.71
+23.5%
21.2%€24.12€10.72n/a9
Aug ’25€16.67
€20.67
+24.0%
17.7%€24.80€12.86n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
€21.24
0%
19.1%€24.81€12.86n/a9
Jun ’25n/a
€21.71
0%
16.6%€25.06€15.32n/a9
May ’25n/a
€22.59
0%
24.8%€32.58€13.22n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
€22.35
0%
25.1%€32.29€13.10n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
€22.68
0%
26.1%€32.30€13.10n/a9
Feb ’25n/a
€20.31
0%
25.9%€24.89€12.91n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
€11.70
0%
36.3%€21.79€7.72n/a8
Dec ’24n/a
€10.29
0%
32.3%€18.39€7.36n/a8
Nov ’24n/a
€11.52
0%
37.2%€18.93€6.62€14.938
Oct ’24n/a
€14.74
0%
24.5%€18.41€10.13€13.566
Sep ’24n/a
€14.74
0%
24.5%€18.41€10.13€15.156
Aug ’24n/a
€13.12
0%
36.9%€18.87€7.19€16.675
Jul ’24n/a
€12.18
0%
33.1%€18.60€7.44n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
€12.18
0%
33.1%€18.60€7.44n/a5
May ’24n/a
€12.03
0%
37.5%€18.23€6.38n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
€9.96
0%
56.0%€18.44€3.69n/a5
Mar ’24n/a
€11.31
0%
43.9%€18.73€3.75n/a6
Feb ’24n/a
€10.79
0%
43.2%€18.53€3.71n/a7
Jan ’24n/a
€14.37
0%
31.1%€19.35€7.74n/a7
Dec ’23n/a
€14.37
0%
31.1%€19.35€7.74n/a7
Nov ’23n/a
€18.92
0%
45.3%€35.12€8.03n/a7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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