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Avast Valuation

Is AV2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AV2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AV2 (€8.29) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€7.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AV2 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AV2?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AV2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24.4x
PEG Ratio6.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AV2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AV2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32x
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
24.3x23.0%€369.0m
IVU IVU Traffic Technologies
22.8xn/a€259.1m
NEM Nemetschek
62x15.5%€10.0b
TMV TeamViewer
18.9x11.6%€2.2b
AV2 Avast
30.9x5.0%€7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AV2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the peer average (29.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AV2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AV2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the German Software industry average (26x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AV2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AV2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.9x
Fair PE Ratio39.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AV2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AV2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Oct ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
May ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Mar ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Feb ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Jan ’24n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Dec ’23n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Nov ’23n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Oct ’23n/a
€7.00
0%
9.7%€7.96€6.16n/a5
Sep ’23€8.17
€6.93
-15.1%
8.0%€7.76€6.00n/a6
Aug ’23€5.54
€7.04
+27.1%
7.3%€7.33€6.74n/a6
Jul ’23€5.98
€6.65
+11.2%
18.2%€7.70€4.12n/a7
Jun ’23€5.70
€6.82
+19.7%
15.6%€7.77€4.40n/a8
May ’23€6.65
€7.09
+6.6%
17.4%€8.46€4.25n/a9
Apr ’23€6.71
€7.02
+4.6%
17.3%€8.36€4.25n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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